TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$953,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,001,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $953,821 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x573e…703cbacked Yes4c61,010$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,669.8550%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes4c58,153$2,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.9420624.8%51 W · 155 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes37c25,300$9,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,245.973429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked No78c21,326$16,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,790.4710930.3%33 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa39…977fbacked Yes6c19,578$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.8392.6%1 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-67.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a29…9b2ebacked No67c12,500$8,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,104.182161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a5c…321dbacked Yes14c11,887$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.331250%6 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+70.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x72a0…c059backed No46c11,372$5,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,196.796346%29 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes6c11,302$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.86948.5%8 W · 86 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-70.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd36b…3d32backed Yes52c11,025$5,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,708.941827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked No39c9,838$3,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,018.549745.4%44 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes40c7,945$3,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,172.326325.4%16 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ad…0724backed Yes29c7,629$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200.051435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick20cpaid+83.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed No41c7,397$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,396.981283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aea…b686backed Yes44c7,146$3,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,141.72450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…55dfbacked Yes61c7,070$4,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,341.985834.5%20 W · 38 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes45c6,318$2,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,864.54235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+72.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked No46c4,324$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.912653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes53c4,293$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,287.447041.4%29 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c4,113$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.132221.4%3 W · 219 L-0.4wins0.00per pick2cpaid+28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4060…3ec3backed No36c4,081$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,624.829264%187 W · 105 L+47.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+41.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xac3e…8150backed No62c4,032$2,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.44447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a9…0b88backed Yes31c3,929$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.290%0 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x58c6…d759backed Yes53c3,820$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.7128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x299b…47b9backed Yes1c3,680$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6590%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x576f…819abacked Yes4c3,611$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.74454.4%2 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-81.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5cc…ac6fbacked Yes59c3,368$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes47c3,329$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.736934.8%24 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes4c3,154$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.255810.3%6 W · 52 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-56.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked No59c3,117$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.92347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+81.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x862a…8409backed Yes3c2,858$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes75c2,785$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088.33256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes12c2,781$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.413718.9%7 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes55c2,737$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.7510938.5%42 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-36.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes40c2,650$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.027538.7%29 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd5a…f7a4backed Yes43c2,601$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.31833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fa8…d720backed Yes4c2,284$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8140%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes16c2,151$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.044420.5%9 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e7…ba4cbacked Yes9c2,136$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.42130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe21…65e5backed Yes47c2,120$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d2…fb50backed Yes68c2,067$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.33234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41f3…844ebacked No47c2,017$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.6930438.8%118 W · 186 L+20.0wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked No33c2,003$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.717044.3%31 W · 39 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc21b…31d1backed No48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed No30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.965527.3%15 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fc9…ec4bbacked Yes55c1,976$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.671921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb57…0a46backed No28c1,800$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2961471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+46.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x63f1…6272backed Yes25c1,654$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.2511628.4%33 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes3c1,644$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9814031.4%44 W · 96 L-0.6wins0.00per pick32cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454e…36cbbacked No60c1,639$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d17…f3adbacked Yes63c1,580$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-65.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes38c1,529$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.943056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd640…480cbacked No34c1,519$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.333941%16 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked No27c1,505$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.317525.3%19 W · 56 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-57.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x35b2…f329backed Yes68c1,457$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.891250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ee…008cbacked Yes55c1,415$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.845545.5%25 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b3…a039backed Yes3c1,411$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.41180%0 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ef…5523backed Yes61c1,367$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.621330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-54%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes64c1,293$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.022080%16 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6e6…d5b8backed Yes66c1,289$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes56c1,288$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.4311133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked No63c1,278$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.273141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43cf…d143backed Yes8c1,206$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.45850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed No53c1,174$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.21656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda63…a0b1backed Yes4c1,154$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.811010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-74.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576d…adddbacked No48c1,142$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25db…28debacked Yes35c1,123$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.959317.2%16 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Yes75c1,047$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.971361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41c…5bd3backed No47c1,012$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.387356.2%41 W · 32 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407711.7%9 W · 68 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-53.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92c…87f7backed Yes16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d43…920fbacked No29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.44per pick39cpaid+125.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed No80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003562.9%22 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7334…81dabacked Yes71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7103135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3706…9462backed No66c999.99$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x783d…9a35backed No38c989.1$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.92988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+55.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73b9…47c4backed Yes51c962.09$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.773016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-60.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes48c952.25$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.8330839.6%122 W · 186 L-17.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e15…a0eebacked No48c942.79$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.251250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes31c929.23$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.881,26524.5%310 W · 955 L-56.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9700…798fbacked Yes37c928.2$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4aa…51dfbacked No37c909.9$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.981747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2178…aab5backed Yes3c900$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7170%0 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes44c886.89$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.446937.7%26 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0260…0261backed Yes61c884.69$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.251030%3 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.34per pick64cpaid-58.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3ff3…8c08backed No46c883.51$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4782755.6%15 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe964…29f8backed No44c876.54$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.795100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+103%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09fd…b61ebacked Yes18c875.34$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.493016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe652…d114backed No58c838.4$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.923053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa53b…4021backed Yes55c833.05$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.4529447.3%139 W · 155 L+34.3wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+30.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc271…1708backed No61c813.22$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.963764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fc6…7306backed Yes3c801$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.033713.5%5 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Yes9c768.03$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.345731.6%18 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Yes4c744.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.63076.7%23 W · 7 L+7.2wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+42.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7a86…f8e8backed Yes26c742.48$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.885525.5%14 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-54%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…d92dbacked Yes53c734.6$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.335058%29 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x100a…0919backed Yes46c729$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.342147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c4f…81ccbacked Yes5c726.29$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.83156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-83.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes3c725.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7619535.4%69 W · 126 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8eb…8473backed Yes57c715.2$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.212015%3 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-76.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.