Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1123ad72b9cefaf53b4cfe7baf50d16a4ee6150926b38f6f619a933f6232713
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $252,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 102,931$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2a…160dbacked Yes | 1c | 22,419$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 1c | 16,167$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.95 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 3c | 14,000$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…605fbacked Yes | 3c | 10,457$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.02 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…8720backed Yes | 2c | 7,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.7 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,892$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 2c | 3,506$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 2c | 2,963$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed Yes | 2c | 2,763$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,563$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…7e2bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,384$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 1c | 1,964$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…02c7backed Yes | 3c | 1,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 2c | 1,667$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…ba4cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,433$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…86eebacked Yes | 2c | 1,207$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…3165backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed Yes | 4c | 999.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes | 2c | 941.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6a…9836backed Yes | 3c | 797.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8411…c309backed Yes | 2c | 797.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…2945backed Yes | 3c | 736.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 3c | 487.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fda…7453backed Yes | 5c | 220.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.