Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05b00b6740784aeb0628e9a3cde308a9b70fa3616a55508c569ec9717dee1a91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,127,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,107,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,127,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 7c | 357,093$26,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,268.93 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Yes | 6c | 21,350$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.75 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 2c | 13,216$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.62 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes | 21c | 11,959$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.03 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed Yes | 8c | 11,645$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.76 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 9c | 7,424$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.1 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 14c | 5,728$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.4 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 10c | 5,690$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.5 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked Yes | 14c | 5,591$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.81 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…07b9backed Yes | 17c | 5,403$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…3766backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.17 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 11c | 4,752$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.41 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…c577backed Yes | 7c | 4,500$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.29 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Yes | 12c | 4,305$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.91 | 308 | 39%120 W · 188 L | +20.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 7c | 3,378$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.2 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +123%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…6ab4backed Yes | 22c | 3,200$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.88 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 14c | 3,080$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.55 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…879dbacked Yes | 14c | 3,043$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 12c | 3,016$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.84 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed Yes | 6c | 2,948$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.96 | 256 | 61.3%157 W · 99 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 8c | 2,449$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.04 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…8cd8backed Yes | 19c | 2,420$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38bf…28e2backed Yes | 14c | 2,269$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.28 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,200$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.05 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 2,192$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.69 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399b…35cdbacked Yes | 15c | 2,130$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.24 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes | 6c | 2,055$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…5bd3backed Yes | 8c | 1,778$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.93 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed Yes | 12c | 1,638$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…5d15backed Yes | 10c | 1,510$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Yes | 7c | 1,450$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes | 13c | 1,315$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.43 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…8e0cbacked No | 77c | 1,292$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 3c | 1,234$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,143$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…881bbacked No | 78c | 1,110$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.77 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 9c | 1,072$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 1,286 | 24.2%311 W · 975 L | -58.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…fdffbacked Yes | 18c | 1,060$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.02 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dba…284dbacked Yes | 11c | 965.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 12c | 956.03$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.65 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 2c | 931.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 4c | 918.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 7c | 882.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes | 24c | 881.93$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…83a6backed Yes | 13c | 864.1$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 79c | 858.06$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.25 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1708backed Yes | 18c | 851.01$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…a039backed Yes | 8c | 813.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 15c | 804.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…625fbacked Yes | 8c | 741.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed No | 77c | 736.02$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.54 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf53d…4b7cbacked Yes | 2c | 660$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…d276backed Yes | 7c | 630.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a71…78c9backed No | 79c | 599.99$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…744bbacked Yes | 15c | 533.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes | 18c | 515$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 8c | 505.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…c150backed Yes | 11c | 483.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 13c | 478.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbe…fc51backed Yes | 9c | 478.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2178…aab5backed Yes | 9c | 467.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed No | 77c | 459.83$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b88…e2eebacked Yes | 9c | 428.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 6c | 412.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…ff78backed No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6607…5bd9backed No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked Yes | 8c | 400$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed No | 77c | 399.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…d92dbacked Yes | 24c | 396.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9d…6b52backed Yes | 3c | 380.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc4…b4f2backed Yes | 14c | 359.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be3…d0b8backed Yes | 24c | 338.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…5254backed Yes | 19c | 322.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd71…a9e5backed Yes | 8c | 314.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…77d6backed Yes | 6c | 295$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a7…0b46backed Yes | 14c | 285.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e8…b7b3backed Yes | 18c | 268.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681e…7ad9backed Yes | 19c | 267.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ba…b46dbacked Yes | 8c | 266.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb8…1fe9backed Yes | 5c | 266$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 14c | 254.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…d0d6backed No | 78c | 235.25$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4af…23abbacked Yes | 8c | 229$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f0…78babacked Yes | 5c | 217.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc91…1a88backed No | 77c | 215$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…2767backed Yes | 14c | 211.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…3d03backed Yes | 12c | 204.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f9…1d2fbacked Yes | 5c | 202$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc77c…0d02backed Yes | 19c | 202$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0a…a3b9backed Yes | 8c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -18.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e9…057fbacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…d211backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…8a6abacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf4…07c0backed No | 78c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…f43fbacked Yes | 22c | 199.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 184.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.