TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97ff…d970

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
234
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Mls, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 58 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.14
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.08
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.1
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.3
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$299
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$28.2
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.4
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.84
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.9
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.31
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$198.03
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$40.64
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.2
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.5
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.5
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.2
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT339.1%3 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-67.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.2
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+491.7%+$1,042.44
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.3
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$262
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.08
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.02
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.5
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.95
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.95
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.05
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.94
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+209.8%+$29.66
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$58.5
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Hilal Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
All 19 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+30%+$30.04
Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.75
FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
SC Heerenveen vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
FC Utrecht vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
FC Fredericia vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.72
Molde FK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.05
NAC Breda vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Telstar 1963 vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$12.32
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
AZ vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
AFC Ajax vs. PSV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
All 13 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT9100%9 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Mls — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.29
Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$31.75
FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.91
Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.5
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.9
Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.36
New York Red Bulls vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.5
Orlando City SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,096.53
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)backed Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Set 1 Winner: Pegula vs Sonmezbacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$10.13
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Tereza Valentovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munarbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Jiujiang: Cody Wong vs Xinxin Yaobacked Xinxin Yao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
All 8 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick60cpaid-59.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+50.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-53.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
América de Cali vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.5
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Starmer say "Labour" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$50.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.