China Taiwan · resolved market
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ebf051dc2b385bb32e59f728a425723a205bbbc0a934308255a62913ce234c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $307,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $269,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x378a…a638backed No | 0c | 52,198$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked No | 0c | 30,890$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 1c | 20,000$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.69 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…7f65backed Yes | 67c | 13,385$8,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,443.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed No | 2c | 11,000$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…8824backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…f099backed No | 0c | 9,799$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 50c | 8,520$4,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,244.98 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 0c | 7,584$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +268.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked No | 2c | 7,003$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 32c | 5,111$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.04 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 28cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 39c | 4,999$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 27cpaid | +350.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6eef…bd6bbacked No | 0c | 4,506$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…9c25backed No | 0c | 4,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed No | 2c | 3,555$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 1cpaid | +9,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45bc…77f5backed No | 1c | 3,485$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b8…447abacked No | 0c | 3,400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 58c | 3,003$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.41 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +8.3wins | +0.38per pick | 53cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc975…2c68backed No | 3c | 2,513$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed No | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Yes | 55c | 2,287$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed No | 1c | 2,120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…a8f4backed No | 2c | 1,956$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 39c | 1,808$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.59 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…0172backed No | 3c | 1,728$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 3cpaid | +733.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…acccbacked No | 2c | 1,688$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…a928backed No | 1c | 1,607$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 35c | 1,134$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.31 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 2c | 1,066$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed No | 6c | 1,038$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 5c | 978.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…b9c2backed No | 2c | 919$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 20cpaid | +296.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5612…10b0backed No | 70c | 847.91$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…d5abbacked No | 3c | 800.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c5…728bbacked No | 1c | 768.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e4…dfc2backed No | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +683.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6593…eba2backed No | 1c | 683.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes | 58c | 529.97$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…2914backed Yes | 32c | 527.4$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…9693backed Yes | 31c | 500$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked Yes | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 32cpaid | +155.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 42c | 468.44$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 42c | 405.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 43c | 363.62$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.98 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 56c | 338.87$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.33 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 28c | 337.21$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.3 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…c0c8backed No | 34c | 328.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc13b…f908backed Yes | 49c | 323.68$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +285.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebb…0614backed Yes | 43c | 300.66$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…f25fbacked No | 49c | 288.47$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…e1d4backed No | 6c | 265.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 64c | 247.5$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.95 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 39c | 246.59$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Yes | 53c | 231$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…4afbbacked Yes | 31c | 227.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3068…083dbacked No | 67c | 222.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.84 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 57c | 222$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 58c | 220$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…7ffabacked No | 55c | 210.32$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eab…9eaebacked No | 48c | 208.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 39c | 204.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 62c | 200$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa448…9eeebacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a9…0fdcbacked No | 54c | 199.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 52c | 174.55$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +196.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd5…bf27backed Yes | 57c | 165.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Yes | 58c | 158$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Yes | 58c | 158$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 34c | 154.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Yes | 61c | 147.94$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 33cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed No | 60c | 143.75$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 40c | 134$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.89 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 79c | 133.97$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…0b5fbacked No | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…1fdabacked No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Yes | 53c | 103$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Yes | 51c | 102$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf1…0089backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b19…50b7backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 66c | 95.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…bdb5backed Yes | 22c | 81.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13bb…c279backed Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x139c…bc2abacked No | 63c | 79.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b2…4e0cbacked No | 68c | 73.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb12c…fae5backed No | 43c | 71.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Yes | 56c | 71.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 52c | 70.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd570…b90abacked Yes | 59c | 65.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…7d32backed No | 47c | 64.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 56c | 61.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x768a…4f50backed No | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed No | 51c | 59.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 28c | 55.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 28c | 54.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 35c | 53.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -11.8wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd30c…ada7backed Yes | 58c | 52.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e21…04ffbacked Yes | 68c | 51.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?this page
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.