China Taiwan · resolved market
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a72bb556617a07ac005dcd13e5fdc961318a0973ef7fde5ce590685feadcda0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $300,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 677 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 62c | 18,483$11,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,076.37 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 1c | 14,470$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf978…f941backed Yes | 0c | 13,728$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 44c | 12,044$5,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,693.11 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +6.9wins | +0.43per pick | 44cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ae…961fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 24c | 6,597$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.24 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 44c | 5,963$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,342.36 | 18 | 94.4%17 W · 1 L | +7.5wins | +0.42per pick | 53cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 0c | 5,928$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 48c | 5,522$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.48 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8785…0cabbacked Yes | 1c | 4,619$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…a265backed Yes | 65c | 4,556$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 30c | 4,547$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.49 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaaf…20c0backed Yes | 76c | 3,747$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.65 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 66c | 3,456$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12e4…dfc2backed No | 21c | 3,234$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.07 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +683.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xac11…9d3abacked Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…b428backed No | 38c | 2,897$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked No | 36c | 2,868$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.04 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +9.7wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 72+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,656$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5039…946dbacked No | 21c | 2,571$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 30c | 2,567$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 16c | 2,533$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +268.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…1986backed Yes | 77c | 2,499$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…9803backed Yes | 72c | 2,400$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed No | 24c | 2,380$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.64 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d5…c665backed No | 37c | 2,351$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…b15dbacked Yes | 79c | 2,194$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 53c | 2,180$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.53 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 56c | 2,169$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.62 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…c0c8backed No | 27c | 2,036$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,024$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.33 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb41…8536backed Yes | 23c | 1,951$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3d…0a55backed Yes | 1c | 1,911$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed No | 27c | 1,866$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.56 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…2372backed Yes | 27c | 1,836$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed No | 52c | 1,752$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.13 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +5.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +413.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…dcfebacked No | 51c | 1,715$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.14 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +4.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…5d15backed No | 20c | 1,604$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.14 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +4.5wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +192.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 42c | 1,537$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…5728backed Yes | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…5d41backed No | 48c | 1,500$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.11 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.34per pick | 53cpaid | +70%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x466a…c444backed No | 57c | 1,359$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +131.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a19…a53ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,359$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 59c | 1,282$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.94 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.35per pick | 43cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfeac…2713backed Yes | 79c | 1,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b6…302fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,108$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…a981backed Yes | 75c | 1,106$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,100$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 23cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…590ebacked No | 23c | 1,088$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +326.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…1864backed Yes | 79c | 1,061$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…f5aabacked No | 36c | 1,055$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.22 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.46per pick | 43cpaid | +140.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 21c | 1,040$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.29 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +5.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +216%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,020$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.81 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…a44bbacked No | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +206.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b72…beddbacked No | 22c | 994.53$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.55per pick | 25cpaid | +228.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…6d6fbacked Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Yes | 16c | 960.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 23c | 958.15$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.82 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7af…0158backed Yes | 39c | 956.76$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…b94cbacked Yes | 15c | 955.11$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.52 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0c…f7e4backed Yes | 32c | 953.94$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…cbfdbacked Yes | 69c | 900$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 52c | 881.23$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.37 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked No | 19c | 863.83$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +158%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 9c | 842.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8344…1e09backed Yes | 77c | 822.12$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 21c | 810.83$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.04 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Yes | 62c | 809.02$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a9…0fdcbacked No | 48c | 759.79$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…c700backed Yes | 40c | 758.8$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 33c | 755.58$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.35 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +4.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…1baebacked No | 51c | 755.29$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 9c | 735.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes | 41c | 726.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cb15backed Yes | 77c | 723.36$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…ed05backed Yes | 60c | 705.75$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…2b23backed Yes | 74c | 705.32$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked No | 22c | 700$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 35cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked Yes | 65c | 699.99$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 21c | 699.92$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +161.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…3ea6backed No | 58c | 688.31$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.45 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe515…3e99backed Yes | 27c | 682.72$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e34…36b1backed Yes | 76c | 679.89$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 6c | 668.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6d…76f5backed Yes | 11c | 659.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b60…a55bbacked Yes | 34c | 634.34$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed No | 44c | 628.07$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +5.3wins | +0.41per pick | 52cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x406f…327dbacked Yes | 30c | 593.23$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…5de2backed Yes | 69c | 579.97$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 27c | 579.04$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.82 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 24cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…422abacked No | 18c | 572.87$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +471.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 51c | 559.3$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.92 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…8afcbacked Yes | 9c | 556.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…6043backed No | 68c | 548.43$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e7…a5c3backed Yes | 36c | 548.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…77eebacked No | 72c | 524.58$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Yes | 79c | 505.25$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -4.2wins | -0.52per pick | 65cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3000…9eb1backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked No | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a75…5271backed Yes | 65c | 500$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?this page
- Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.