China Taiwan · resolved market

Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe517d4a74e0d4616a2dd34d94a12c64ce9711401a3632b69ccefdefcffaa459b

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $63,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $57,972

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,548 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes	2c	5,640$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.4	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	+6.7wins	+0.14per pick	11cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0bd7…a265backed Yes	7c	5,542$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.24	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bdd…43c6backed Yes	25c	4,836$1,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,220.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked No	79c	3,220$2,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$672.81	16	87.5%14 W · 2 L	+6.9wins	+0.43per pick	44cpaid	+154.9%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x6872…876fbacked Yes	5c	2,681$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.12	20	5%1 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-88.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6af7…5a6fbacked Yes	13c	2,500$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5207…686bbacked No	73c	2,105$1,537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$568.01	25	84%21 W · 4 L	+9.7wins	+0.39per pick	45cpaid	+94.5%equal weight	72+0.19 edge/pick
0x88b3…9ca3backed Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	17c	1,803$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.8	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	18cpaid	-85.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	4c	1,504$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.85	47	23.4%11 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	3c	1,200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	56	8.9%5 W · 51 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e48…fb1abacked Yes	22c	1,099$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.73	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…2914backed Yes	28c	1,063$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e26…3edfbacked Yes	15c	1,007$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5039…946dbacked No	77c	950$731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.5	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.35per pick	48cpaid	+84.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No	77c	711.11$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.5	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed No	71c	662.93$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.82	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+3.8wins	+0.27per pick	44cpaid	+82.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	22c	632$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.04	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbdd…d38bbacked Yes	18c	590.9$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No	74c	568.56$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.25	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+3.1wins	+0.21per pick	59cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8295…610cbacked Yes	14c	542.37$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.69	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9024…6220backed Yes	19c	541.8$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.72	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.22per pick	12cpaid	+103.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…6043backed No	74c	511.41$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.65	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c59…1766backed No	71c	488.92$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.79	18	94.4%17 W · 1 L	+7.5wins	+0.42per pick	53cpaid	+107.6%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0xfdf6…00a1backed Yes	22c	462.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e03…25b3backed Yes	24c	423.51$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes	16c	399.99$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	29	3.4%1 W · 28 L	-5.6wins	-0.19per pick	23cpaid	-94.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked No	76c	399.98$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.23	20	80%16 W · 4 L	+4.9wins	+0.24per pick	56cpaid	+49.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7726…4aeebacked No	77c	399.94$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.99	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+3.5wins	+0.35per pick	35cpaid	+79.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes	23c	396.67$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked No	77c	353$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.19	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.8wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes	14c	345.94$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.11	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-4.0wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x95cd…8efebacked Yes	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x018c…9794backed Yes	30c	335.59$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997d…5d15backed No	79c	334.32$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.43	8	100%8 W · 0 L	+4.5wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+192.5%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed Yes	23c	328.6$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.68	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd64a…d5c3backed Yes	17c	309.18$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.17	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	57cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc93e…7195backed Yes	33c	306.76$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+437.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	75c	298.7$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.67	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-4.4wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9671…bedcbacked Yes	23c	293.05$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72df…7190backed Yes	17c	287.18$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes	15c	265.93$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…f25fbacked No	71c	259.76$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.91	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.2wins	+0.28per pick	60cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x645a…fd84backed No	80c	251.01$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.01	37	78.4%29 W · 8 L	+7.9wins	+0.21per pick	57cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2471…c7e7backed Yes	27c	243.74$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…dcfebacked No	77c	225$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.75	11	100%11 W · 0 L	+4.2wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+70.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4b2d…f0d4backed No	70c	213.18$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.18	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+3.7wins	+0.47per pick	41cpaid	+165.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xce6b…53b2backed Yes	23c	200$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1231…e221backed No	61c	200$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+138.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	77c	194.7$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.78	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d30…91d6backed Yes	35c	188.75$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.46	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.33per pick	47cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08b7…cd9bbacked Yes	9c	187.77$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes	16c	187.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	77c	185.34$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.09	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…408abacked Yes	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes	15c	145.49$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.44	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-60%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	79c	145.07$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.06	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeec5…b6febacked No	77c	142.9$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.22	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf0c…f7e4backed Yes	22c	136.36$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x92f1…8232backed Yes	28c	133.64$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.42	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ede…719abacked Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0661…7a43backed No	78c	127.97$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.15	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52cc…fefbbacked Yes	20c	125.42$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d2a…f74bbacked Yes	16c	121.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…c3e9backed Yes	17c	119.95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+73.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No	76c	111.99$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.88	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Yes	19c	106$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2754…acdfbacked Yes	10c	102$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.35per pick	15cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.19per pick	35cpaid	-46%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	11	100%11 W · 0 L	+5.6wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+151.9%equal weight	67+0.16 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	20c	92.55$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.37	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…f406backed Yes	17c	88.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22af…3d6abacked Yes	18c	84.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd061…33f9backed Yes	13c	84.07$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.87	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-78.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e4f…2510backed Yes	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cf6…a80cbacked Yes	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No	64c	82.2$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.55	12	91.7%11 W · 1 L	+7.7wins	+0.65per pick	27cpaid	+327.5%equal weight	73+0.21 edge/pick
0xf2cf…3ea6backed No	80c	80$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	9	100%9 W · 0 L	+3.1wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+56.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xae0b…0913backed Yes	16c	75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-62%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8d9…d32abacked No	73c	70$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4500…72e4backed Yes	14c	69.93$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5197…0ce6backed Yes	29c	68.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-3.1wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x332f…90d3backed Yes	30c	67.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2849backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab8…d621backed No	74c	60.63$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.76	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+119%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4178…ccdcbacked Yes	17c	60$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd058…47febacked Yes	22c	59.09$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb66…5e13backed No	76c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb2c…0f77backed No	72c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+109.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0a9…0fdcbacked No	76c	47.13$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.31	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x378a…a638backed No	80c	45.6$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.12	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.23per pick	39cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x72ea…800abacked No	67c	40$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c2a…b7b5backed No	78c	37.33$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.22	10	100%10 W · 0 L	+3.9wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+72.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xac6a…2ed3backed No	78c	35.72$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.86	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2cf…464bbacked No	76c	35.48$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd75a…fdecbacked No	72c	34.48$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.65	11	90.9%10 W · 1 L	+3.5wins	+0.31per pick	60cpaid	+62.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5dba…d397backed No	72c	32$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.96	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7f…1559backed No	63c	31.75$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a4e…b38cbacked No	65c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+4.9wins	+0.38per pick	47cpaid	+85.7%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event