TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfb66…5e13

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
281
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
24

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT7360.3%44 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$66
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$673.99
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$41.79
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$535
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.99
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$187
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$99
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$196
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$133
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST3855.3%21 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$170.25
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+31.6%+$148.29
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$537.85
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$295.42
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$11.3
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+59.6%+$75.7
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+29.9%+$34.5
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$999.49
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$300.83
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+28.2%+$64.58
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$114
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$25.68
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+38.3%+$63.63
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 4 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$121.85
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$41.65
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+54.8%+$13.87
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 3 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+143.9%+$54.7
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$38.68
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+143.9%+$18.01
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.65
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$16.97
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$434.28
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+51.9%+$194.7
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$43
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$54
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.4
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.99
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$391
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.83
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+52%+$10.4
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Canada" 7+ times during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will the Conservative Party win by 25–49 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Conservative Party win by 50 or more seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Yoon arrested by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$163
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.2%+$11.1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Russia capture Velykomykhailivka by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.3%+$4.06
Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+34.7%+$13.86
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+40.9%+$40.89
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+277.5%+$194.26
Will Elon tweet 170-179 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+153.2%+$30.63
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.31
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+32.6%+$18.27
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.13
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.34per pick64cpaid-57.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.7
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,396.92
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Trump declares a national emergency by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$81
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$192
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.5
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,410Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$1,371.99
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.9
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 42°F or higher on January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$4.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.38per pick60cpaid-64.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.99
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$38.75
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.49
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick75cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.17
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.7%+$38.52
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$8.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Kholood Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Hilal Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$112.5
ASB Classic: Alexandra Eala vs Xinyu Wangbacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+48.8%+$12.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 327?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Coria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$36
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.59
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.