Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-02-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3ce7dd1482c7bb814c219db7bb19adfebabdf21359890f234018de867d33e91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 73c | 4,986$3,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 3,723$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.54 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 74c | 3,500$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.5 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked No | 70c | 2,032$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,800$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 12c | 1,249$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b964backed Yes | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 868.89$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.63 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 644.39$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.17 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aef…648abacked No | 73c | 550$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 473$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.71 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 73c | 413$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.51 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 399.89$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 13c | 384$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 303.26$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…53fabacked No | 71c | 220$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 30c | 213.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 10c | 200.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…c905backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb66…5e13backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…020bbacked No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 8c | 149.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed No | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 29c | 100.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 11c | 99.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 30c | 71.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b02…ae87backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 29c | 64.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 30c | 45.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…166abacked No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…c2ddbacked No | 73c | 32.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…64edbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed No | 73c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…133cbacked No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdc…06c2backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…1824backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…afbabacked No | 72c | 16.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-02-16?this page
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-02-16?Yes won
- Will Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.