Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-02-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43191243f31770fdb7366fb90e8a63deb2c9b3b0e0b00861dca51f43a4f4b054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 41c | 7,444$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,415.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 5,978$3,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,568.83 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 4,017$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Yes | 40c | 3,700$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Yes | 38c | 3,616$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 3,290$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.86 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 3,038$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.93 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 59c | 1,830$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.58 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 57c | 1,506$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.64 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Yes | 39c | 1,472$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 62c | 1,152$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.87 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 9c | 969.29$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 41c | 758.54$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.54 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 634.46$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.71 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 59c | 558.82$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.84 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf250…de38backed Yes | 41c | 544.01$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 60c | 438$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.8 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed No | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 51c | 368.17$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.26 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked No | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 26c | 313.73$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…547ebacked No | 11c | 304.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 271.74$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.91 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 48c | 269.77$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes | 77c | 258.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb80…870dbacked Yes | 42c | 239.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 15c | 200.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 60c | 199.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…b193backed Yes | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…8cc7backed Yes | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Yes | 45c | 162$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.72 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 59c | 142.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…7330backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 60c | 135$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed No | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 51c | 126.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 124$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x514f…ee49backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 60c | 115$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 59c | 112$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed No | 60c | 105.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 33c | 104.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…0e76backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 52c | 98.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 60c | 98.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 80c | 98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3f…8cd6backed No | 59c | 95.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fc…07e3backed No | 13c | 91.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed No | 61c | 90.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed No | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 59c | 74.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 41c | 68.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 48c | 67.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 54c | 67.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 30c | 65.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 33c | 63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 60c | 56.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 59c | 51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 40c | 47.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Yes | 41c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 71c | 47.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 27c | 46.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +7.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 34c | 41.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 59c | 40.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…3f2dbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0058…7fb6backed Yes | 51c | 39.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 79c | 37.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 39c | 37.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…1c78backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 40c | 36.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-02-16?this page
- Will Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-02-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.