TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf6fc…07e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+79.8%+$12.51
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+105.1%+$15.2
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$41.86
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22.95
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+89.9%+$17.02
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.76
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18.65
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$22.79
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+112.8%+$14.72
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$14.76
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Delray Beach Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marcos Gironbacked Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.67
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Emilio Navabacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+56.3%+$6.12
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+96.1%+$31.28
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Varvara Gracheva vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.54
Argentina Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.09
Rotterdam Open: Hugo Grenier vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.9
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$17.94
Qatar Total Open: Magdalena Frech vs Ann Libacked Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21.15
Rotterdam Open: Quentin Halys vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.83
Transylvania Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Anna Bondarbacked Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+85.2%+$10.87
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$65.68
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Heads · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+99.6%+$17.23
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Montana State Bobcats vs. Montana Grizzlies: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.35
Seattle Redhawks vs. Portland Pilotsbacked Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.9
Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Ramsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.48
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.32
Club Necaxa vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+329.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+329.9%+$55.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+95.8%+$10.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$55.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+39.9%+$5.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.