NBA · resolved market

Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82f12bd84fa4bb9c4681d82fce96a3eeba8d7099848d265c5c4deb0a18af4e88

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Grizzlies
Resolved: Feb 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,079,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,082,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,079,919 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Trail Blazers	53c	525,017$276,301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248,715.61	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Grizzlies	47c	332,567$156,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156,306.63	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Trail Blazers	53c	172,158$90,522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81,635.77	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x801e…ad90backed Trail Blazers	52c	120,000$62,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57,599.96	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Trail Blazers	51c	100,000$51,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,999.89	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies	48c	90,576$43,476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,476.3	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies	48c	72,947$35,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,033.2	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Grizzlies	47c	71,793$33,743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,742.59	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies	49c	44,014$21,522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,522.03	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Grizzlies	48c	39,984$19,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,219.7	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Grizzlies	48c	32,780$15,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,873.55	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Grizzlies	49c	22,227$10,988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,988	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies	49c	16,787$8,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,204.37	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Grizzlies	49c	15,522$7,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,560	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Grizzlies	49c	15,225$7,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,460.25	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Grizzlies	48c	15,000$7,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,200	79	46.8%37 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Grizzlies	48c	15,000$7,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,200	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Grizzlies	48c	10,417$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Grizzlies	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,199.99	245	49%120 W · 125 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Grizzlies	48c	8,333$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Grizzlies	48c	8,000$3,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,840	208	49.5%103 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…97debacked Grizzlies	48c	7,917$3,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,800	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Grizzlies	48c	7,500$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,600	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed Grizzlies	49c	7,406$3,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,628.94	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Trail Blazers	49c	7,264$3,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,674.41	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies	51c	7,000$3,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,570	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies	50c	6,778$3,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,363.87	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Grizzlies	48c	6,554$3,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,146	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies	48c	6,546$3,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,142.35	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Grizzlies	48c	6,472$3,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,106.56	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers	48c	6,208$2,983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,224.19	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Trail Blazers	47c	5,700$2,679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,020.99	160	39.4%63 W · 97 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcd…355abacked Grizzlies	51c	5,658$2,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,880.82	75	36%27 W · 48 L	-9.9wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Grizzlies	48c	5,521$2,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,650	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Grizzlies	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	185	47%87 W · 98 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Grizzlies	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,450	230	52.6%121 W · 109 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Grizzlies	49c	4,809$2,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,356.41	104	51%53 W · 51 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Grizzlies	48c	4,753$2,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,281.67	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Grizzlies	48c	4,304$2,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,066	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Grizzlies	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Grizzlies	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	320	51.9%166 W · 154 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fb…fe50backed Grizzlies	49c	3,878$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Grizzlies	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd2b…7f04backed Grizzlies	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Grizzlies	48c	2,708$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Trail Blazers	53c	2,664$1,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,252.1	419	47.7%200 W · 219 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies	48c	2,237$1,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,081.64	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Grizzlies	49c	2,100$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Grizzlies	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	172	41.9%72 W · 100 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked Grizzlies	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Grizzlies	53c	1,990$1,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,054.23	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies	51c	1,915$968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.22	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Grizzlies	48c	1,771$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.88	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Grizzlies	48c	1,680$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$806.4	228	45.2%103 W · 125 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Grizzlies	53c	1,574$834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$834.42	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies	49c	1,414$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$694.67	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5db5…5df8backed Trail Blazers	52c	1,106$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525.92	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed Trail Blazers	47c	1,054$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$557.62	54	68.5%37 W · 17 L	+9.4wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+30%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Grizzlies	48c	1,042$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	323	47.1%152 W · 171 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Grizzlies	49c	1,020$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Grizzlies	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	291	49.5%144 W · 147 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Grizzlies	56c	871.61$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.1	226	46.9%106 W · 120 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Trail Blazers	53c	800$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376	143	58.7%84 W · 59 L	+12.9wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Grizzlies	48c	770.07$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.63	106	42.5%45 W · 61 L	-6.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Trail Blazers	47c	708$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.24	401	46.9%188 W · 213 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies	57c	701$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.57	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Grizzlies	48c	620.09$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.81	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers	48c	555.39$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.8	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Trail Blazers	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Grizzlies	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	228	46.1%105 W · 123 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Grizzlies	48c	491.59$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.05	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Grizzlies	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	266	40.2%107 W · 159 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Grizzlies	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	135	36.3%49 W · 86 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Grizzlies	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Grizzlies	49c	386.51$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.39	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53f7…2544backed Grizzlies	52c	384.71$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Grizzlies	42c	332.51$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.39	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Trail Blazers	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	178	45.5%81 W · 97 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Grizzlies	54c	300$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-8.8wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf23…ee81backed Trail Blazers	48c	294.32$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.05	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Grizzlies	47c	248.96$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.01	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Grizzlies	50c	240$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.88	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Trail Blazers	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Trail Blazers	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Trail Blazers	40c	200$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	289	29.4%85 W · 204 L	-13.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Grizzlies	53c	199.97$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.98	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Grizzlies	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64aa…7f42backed Trail Blazers	52c	190.76$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.76	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c0a…7affbacked Grizzlies	48c	190$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.2	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-5.6wins	-0.24per pick	51cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Grizzlies	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	253	47%119 W · 134 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e44…686abacked Grizzlies	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Trail Blazers	28c	172.99$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.81	558	46.8%261 W · 297 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers	48c	168.75$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.38	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Trail Blazers	47c	155.29$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.79	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Grizzlies	49c	154$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.69	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Grizzlies	52c	153.85$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	463	46.4%215 W · 248 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Trail Blazers	49c	125.01$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.76	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Grizzlies	48c	111.45$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.5	164	43.9%72 W · 92 L	-9.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Grizzlies	48c	111.45$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.5	150	40%60 W · 90 L	-14.1wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6746…70e1backed Trail Blazers	48c	105.03$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.88	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-5.2wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)this page
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5No won
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Grizzlies vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
Jerami Grant: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Trail Blazers won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event