NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ae5f79ef75c3c137de6fea286420e71c37b7243d5ea3eb883168f25d8b8d120
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $522,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $523,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $522,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 72,000$40,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,679.97 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 71,438$35,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,719.21 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 68,206$34,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,103.1 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Grizzlies | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 49,030$25,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,684.71 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,600 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 39,214$18,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,822.77 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Grizzlies | 48c | 37,147$17,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,936.55 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 35,914$18,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,014.01 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 33,533$16,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,684.3 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Grizzlies | 51c | 29,411$14,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,994.49 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Grizzlies | 48c | 25,658$12,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,422.39 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Grizzlies | 44c | 22,080$9,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,769.2 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 21,088$10,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,105.6 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 18,040$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,839.57 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 15,001$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200.4 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Grizzlies | 44c | 12,709$5,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,591.96 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc22…f48ebacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 12,251$6,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,911.31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Grizzlies | 49c | 10,440$5,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,115.6 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 10,048$4,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,124.6 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Grizzlies | 44c | 9,750$4,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,323.16 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Grizzlies | 44c | 8,253$3,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,631.51 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 7,119$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.42 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 6,853$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.36 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 6,500$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.99 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Grizzlies | 48c | 6,200$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Grizzlies | 44c | 6,189$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Grizzlies | 48c | 5,352$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307c…aca6backed Grizzlies | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.99 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 4,586$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.1 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Grizzlies | 44c | 4,471$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.03 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Grizzlies | 48c | 4,282$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.36 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Grizzlies | 44c | 3,953$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.32 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 3,852$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.85 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,849$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.15 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 3,446$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.07 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 3,137$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.13 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…af59backed Grizzlies | 48c | 3,135$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 3,089$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Grizzlies | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7955backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 2,800$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,796$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.07 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 2,505$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.07 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 2,329$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.9 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 2,228$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.56 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,201$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.45 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,988$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.85 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,900$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,599$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.09 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,392$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.92 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 1,358$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.3 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…e243backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,350$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,338$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.25 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 1,256$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.65 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…0ed7backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,150$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,046$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.16 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 1,011$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.06 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,007$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.65 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…8c5ebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 985.71$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Grizzlies | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 900$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 782.45$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.85 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 781.94$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.26 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 48c | 638.15$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 547.17$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.17 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfb…2d24backed Grizzlies | 49c | 522$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 467.45$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.61 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Grizzlies | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Grizzlies | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Grizzlies | 52c | 309.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 302.93$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.35 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 288$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 272.72$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.58 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Grizzlies | 51c | 266.67$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Grizzlies | 48c | 265.12$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…16ecbacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 54c | 261.06$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.78 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 255.31$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.44 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…515fbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 227.85$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f2…c5d4backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 201$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Grizzlies | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd274…2e4dbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 186.54$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 185.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Grizzlies | 46c | 184.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 182.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.58 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 171.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.63 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…70e1backed Grizzlies | 48c | 167.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)this page
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.