TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6bf6…0ed7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
30
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Dota2, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rice Owls vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$99.9
Maryland Terrapins vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+82.4%+$65.62
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$79.8
UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$99.6
Michigan Wolverines vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$79.92
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Northern Kentucky Norse: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.01
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$99.68
Oregon Ducks vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$103.71
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. VMI Keydets: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$99.76
Wagner Seahawks vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$99.76
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 155.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.01
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$84.98
Lafayette Leopards vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$99.68
Drexel Dragons vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$117.34
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+98%+$97.94
Drexel Dragons vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.7%+$104.5
Belmont Bruins vs. UIC Flames: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$99.76
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-72.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$350
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$101.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$48.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Utahbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$33.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Republican House Odds Up or Down this week?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$99.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.