Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Michigan Wolverines vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc07b59a15045cb32a5f1810d3be3300bdc1197a4d14f9aafd3546d3f9e8cc48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 49c | 106,938$52,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,441.61 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 51c | 42,500$21,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,632.73 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 35,289$17,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,454.42 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 51c | 31,547$16,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,309.65 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 49c | 16,211$7,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,899.09 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 15,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Over | 50c | 13,594$6,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,730.46 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 49c | 5,500$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Over | 47c | 5,447$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.97 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 3,914$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.6 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 3,654$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.14 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 52c | 2,090$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.2 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 1,579$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.66 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Under | 52c | 1,183$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.69 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 637.3$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.28 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 51c | 594.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.03 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 224.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.49 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 54c | 183.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 179$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…0ed7backed Over | 50c | 159.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 51c | 122.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.96 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 53c | 121$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed Under | 51c | 96.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 49c | 89.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…6974backed Over | 50c | 81.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 56c | 76.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Under | 51c | 69.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 52c | 65.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5422backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 51c | 56.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…af5dbacked Under | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…5324backed Under | 52c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…515fbacked Over | 50c | 39.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 52c | 38.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 40c | 35.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under | 52c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…51a8backed Under | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 52c | 31.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 51c | 26.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed Under | 52c | 24.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 50c | 23.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…35f3backed Under | 51c | 20.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 162.5this page
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Ohio State BuckeyesMichigan Wolverines won
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 159.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-10.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)Michigan Wolverines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.