TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0110…af5d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
218
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT9153.8%49 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+404.6%+$88.2
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$7.65
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$9.55
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$9.28
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.21
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-15.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$13.69
Wichita State Shockers vs. South Florida Bullsbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.03
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.43
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.71
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Baptist Lancersbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$7.19
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$7.66
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$33.3
Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
Florida State Seminoles vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.22
Florida State Seminoles vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$8.13
Weber State Wildcats vs. Eastern Washington Eagles: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$17.31
Northern Colorado Bears vs. Montana Grizzliesbacked Northern Colorado Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Wright State Raidersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+78%+$12.41
Furman Paladins vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneersbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Boston Terriers vs. Navy Midshipmenbacked Navy Midshipmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.69
Long Beach State Beach vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.82
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3360.6%20 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$7.51
Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$8.68
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$9.81
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$5.12
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$11.48
Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$12.82
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$18.1
Detroit Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$10.71
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.18
Athletics vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$5.82
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$15.75
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlinsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$5.71
Logan Webb: Strikeouts O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Logan Webb: Strikeouts O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astrosbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+70%+$7.7
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.39
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63%+$9.14
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$6.82
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$33.92
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$5.1
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+68.5%+$9.94
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+122.1%+$16.86
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+57.9%+$6.19
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+45.5%+$52.84
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.4%+$4.24
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+82%+$16.4
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+33.6%+$18.82
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+170.7%+$56.75
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.15
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$43.13
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.67
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$7.39
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$7.82
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$5.36
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$12.49
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+29.2%+$3.79
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.08
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$12.5
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+393.2%+$196.23
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30.5
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+26.9%+$2.96
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.42
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+89.7%+$11.67
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.09
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+45%+$10.03
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$11.02
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+185.8%+$23.21
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Blackhawks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Hurricanes vs. Flamesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-63.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Golf — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jackson Koivun win the 2026 3M Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.2
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.6
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 Truist Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.63
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$48.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$18.6
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignonbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$10.29
Miami Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Miami Open: Adam Walton vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$3.9
All 8 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Army vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+88.1%+$15.86
Arkansas vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+26.9%+$2.96
Georgia Tech vs. Boston Collegebacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+27.4%+$3.29
All 3 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Will Paris FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$7.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$3.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.