TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utahof Utah, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$796,424
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$822,015

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $796,424 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 724 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Golden Knights58c295,430$171,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,349.5319848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Utah42c293,099$123,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169,997.2667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Utah42c46,330$19,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,871.177545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Golden Knights58c41,797$24,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,242.315046%23 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Golden Knights57c41,157$23,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,652.8516442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Utah42c39,882$16,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,117.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Utah45c33,389$14,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,502.621,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Golden Knights58c29,991$17,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,394.9812047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc29a…7816backed Golden Knights58c25,000$14,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,499.938240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Utah43c22,582$9,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,867.2333450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc92…2e78backed Golden Knights58c22,345$12,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,960.053151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights52c20,411$10,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,688.2389636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Golden Knights56c13,353$7,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,526.357038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Golden Knights57c12,269$6,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,993.4712146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Golden Knights57c12,125$6,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,911.3313841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Utah46c12,124$5,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,521.1218452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Utah42c11,111$4,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,444.3351045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Utah42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,799.998657%49 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Utah45c9,887$4,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,437.775276.9%40 W · 12 L+11.6wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+42.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Golden Knights59c9,600$5,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,656.9551550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Utah43c7,986$3,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,520.5237754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Utah43c7,964$3,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,500.19157.1%52 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Utah42c7,295$3,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,22840356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Utah43c7,085$3,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,032.0619759.4%117 W · 80 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights57c7,021$4,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,013.381,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Utah41c6,000$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,539.9850049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed Golden Knights57c5,931$3,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3922365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Utah41c5,655$2,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,336.4812950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Golden Knights16c4,998$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.3758841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Utah46c4,838$2,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.5210145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights43c4,649$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.812,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Utah43c4,066$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.145446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Utah54c3,758$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.962,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Golden Knights58c3,579$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.6961950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ea…476cbacked Golden Knights59c3,563$2,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.452979.3%23 W · 6 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+27.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Utah43c3,414$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.474555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Utah36c3,008$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.5433234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Utah41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.929146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Golden Knights58c2,557$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.841,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Utah42c2,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45031848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Golden Knights58c2,500$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.9483652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01a5…312ebacked Utah42c2,298$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3337244.4%32 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Golden Knights58c2,132$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.117353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Golden Knights52c2,023$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.6225635.9%92 W · 164 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Golden Knights58c2,019$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.174443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Golden Knights47c2,014$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.4511251.8%58 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Golden Knights57c2,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Golden Knights57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14020450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Golden Knights57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9533652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Golden Knights57c1,948$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.0211950.4%60 W · 59 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cc…0b39backed Utah46c1,935$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.011050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Utah42c1,899$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.2833554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x079e…599dbacked Golden Knights57c1,864$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.742123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-56.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x967e…6a83backed Golden Knights57c1,832$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.721533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Golden Knights55c1,814$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.9240351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Utah46c1,742$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.5144551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Golden Knights59c1,653$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.485250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb5…b009backed Golden Knights46c1,651$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.872755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Utah42c1,531$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.718946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Utah42c1,404$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.6589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Golden Knights60c1,315$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.571,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Golden Knights50c1,289$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.3914946.3%69 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Golden Knights37c1,261$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.7735551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Utah67c1,222$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.557157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Utah42c1,149$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.4515252%79 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Golden Knights16c1,130$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.87737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Utah43c1,123$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.126550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…f873backed Golden Knights58c1,117$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-63.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Utah41c1,111$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.4711153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Golden Knights57c1,100$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62726154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights54c1,097$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.183,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Golden Knights58c1,060$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.7962249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Utah58c1,020$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.3810746.7%50 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ac…3f7cbacked Golden Knights57c1,010$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.71866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Utah42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Golden Knights58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58022946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Utah42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58033837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Golden Knights54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54012152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Utah46c988.63$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.8627044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Golden Knights53c963.78$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.0313850.7%70 W · 68 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3859…646dbacked Golden Knights59c946.89$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.022166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+50.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Golden Knights58c941.19$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.897258.3%42 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d5…b0b8backed Utah49c928.12$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.641136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Golden Knights58c879$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.825947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Golden Knights58c873.96$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.93253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Utah42c868.68$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.837755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…03c2backed Golden Knights58c840.34$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.46750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Golden Knights59c826.61$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.72857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Golden Knights59c826.61$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.75954.2%32 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2d…8622backed Golden Knights59c826.61$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.72867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdf7…bf20backed Golden Knights59c826.61$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Golden Knights35c825.72$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.2833363.7%212 W · 121 L+44.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Golden Knights44c813.38$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.5717442.5%74 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d97…cab6backed Golden Knights58c812.91$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.491145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2f3…1732backed Golden Knights18c798.67$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Golden Knights57c796$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.7226955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Utah46c791.27$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.4314837.2%55 W · 93 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95b8…d4debacked Golden Knights58c789.92$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.1640%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef7d…2606backed Utah43c786.12$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Golden Knights59c780.23$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.874751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.