NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x562aaa736b1e4fdc8ef726a857256eaa2e1f33fa1e99ca5253a8be1884f16d26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Under | 45c | 10,599$4,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,829.34 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 72c | 6,733$4,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,839.18 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 5,838$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.9 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 3,922$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.03 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 26c | 3,590$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.92 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 55c | 3,538$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 26c | 2,315$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.86 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 65c | 2,214$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.38 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Under | 27c | 1,638$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 55c | 1,516$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.13 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 67c | 1,460$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.84 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 1,420$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.21 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 27c | 1,103$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.09 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 45c | 897.86$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.82 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Under | 52c | 732.68$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 37c | 722.41$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.59 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Under | 24c | 702.63$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.55 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Under | 45c | 660.67$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Under | 28c | 448.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c4a6backed Over | 55c | 385.89$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.24 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 46cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 68c | 381.4$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.93 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed Over | 63c | 329.29$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.01 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 50c | 252.16$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.75 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…5898backed Under | 46c | 238.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Over | 65c | 195.8$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Under | 62c | 170.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 40c | 165.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.33 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 73c | 153$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.31 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 152.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 61c | 142.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 130.64$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 70c | 121.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 67c | 119.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 34c | 105.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 71c | 99.49$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 62c | 97.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 35c | 95.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 28c | 93.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 37c | 92.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 63c | 85.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 75c | 84.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 63c | 80.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 40c | 78.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…1ec6backed Under | 55c | 78.53$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 38c | 77.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 66c | 76.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 63c | 73.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 50c | 73.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under | 37c | 72.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b1…f556backed Under | 34c | 66.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 49c | 63.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 59.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 55c | 58.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 70c | 56.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Over | 65c | 49.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 53c | 44.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 54c | 41.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 36c | 41.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 56c | 39.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Over | 64c | 38.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked Over | 65c | 37.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Over | 76c | 36.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 35c | 36.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 77c | 34.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed Over | 57c | 34.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3851…e908backed Under | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Over | 65c | 27.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 68c | 24.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Over | 47c | 22.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 53c | 20.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 65c | 18.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…3df3backed Over | 75c | 17.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Over | 69c | 14.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Utah won
- Utah vs. Golden KnightsUtah won
- Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.