TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd7c9…1ec6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT4242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.73
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.51
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.22
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.58
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.9
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$24.54
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60.95
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$52.82
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$642.42
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.82
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.14
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.97
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+141.4%+$293.02
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$41.01
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$44.09
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+121.6%+$172.69
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.66
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.13
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$19.58
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.69
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$133.85
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$17.91
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$27.18
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$64.98
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.98
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.59
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.06
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.68
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+255.9%+$215.36
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.26
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.48
Spread: Athletics (-2.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+379.5%+$70.57
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$20.74
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.24
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.08
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.14
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+148.4%+$16.81
Wild vs. Stars: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$10.53
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$59.72
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$8.66
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$44.9
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.48
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$508.01
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.52
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.44
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$35.6
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$16.87
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$29.35
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.19
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.23
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-41.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)backed SC Freiburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$24.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.61
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Charles Jourdain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$155.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)backed SC Freiburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$18.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+98%+$504.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$10.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$68.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$71.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.