TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,871
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,871 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes31c92,945$28,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,436.4729446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No69c17,140$11,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,313.442962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No69c12,010$8,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,69417055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c10,576$7,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,250.23,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes24c6,841$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.051811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-63.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c6,679$4,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.685,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x154e…7a37backed Yes2c6,484$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.26728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid-33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes31c6,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.994339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No70c5,625$3,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.542657.7%15 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No69c5,249$3,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.9927855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c5,249$4,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.561,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No70c4,800$3,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45624855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Yes30c4,009$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.591216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No69c3,950$2,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.0665058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c3,930$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.581,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No70c3,600$2,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09213059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No70c2,650$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.0716558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No71c2,211$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.153073.3%22 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+55.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No71c1,953$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.571,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No70c1,800$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54624053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No69c1,563$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.261,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No77c1,535$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.8911230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed No73c1,365$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.2111855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ce…c264backed Yes28c1,335$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3807732.5%25 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No70c1,200$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36419559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e1c…d8acbacked No69c1,159$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe01c…7f6cbacked No73c1,137$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.071764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No71c1,127$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.762948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31023057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No69c988.88$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.3845253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1510…fe91backed No79c949.37$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.372556%14 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No70c900$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27323056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa573…3987backed No72c769.43$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.441485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76af…25c3backed No69c737.36$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.581275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No70c720$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.416559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No70c720$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.415857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No73c706.99$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.356056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No70c602$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.541,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18028851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No70c480$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.621358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7810467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes9c430.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404617.4%8 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No70c420$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.421657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No70c420$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.420360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12024956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12018358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No69c400$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.415560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked No76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.742751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No70c393.5$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.3912757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes29c370.17$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1075646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006735.8%24 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Yes8c353.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7410446.2%48 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No72c348.79$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2711763.2%74 W · 43 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e48…f025backed No73c342.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No71c289.93$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0810158.4%59 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No69c284.06$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9333266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb7d…0efebacked Yes26c268.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.861631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No69c267$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7722853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7530754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No70c240$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.822058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No71c239.67$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1878756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdba4…1528backed Yes27c235.78$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.661747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No71c196$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8422457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No69c187$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.972,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No70c180$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.618959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No67c166.76$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.361,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes29c154$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6621349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked No69c152.58$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.35862.1%36 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344f…1a45backed No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No70c139.11$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.561,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32e5…be5bbacked Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4d…4f6bbacked No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.144856.3%27 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes24c123.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306814.7%10 W · 58 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No69c120$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7217255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3624257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.413465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No72c119.98$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5926749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No73c119.27$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0594848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No79c116.86$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8213248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No72c113.63$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.591,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No70c113.27$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3412755.1%70 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No69c108.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.784969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No74c108.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3321252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes28c107.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No71c106.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.282,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x575d…a11abacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No70c95.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3913828.3%39 W · 99 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc115…9138backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010031%31 W · 69 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked No75c89.14$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.394362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ff…cf90backed Yes25c81.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed No69c79.18$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.464645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes28c74.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8742250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcfe…4b94backed No70c73.46$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.912965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7468…3d24backed Yes32c73.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.451421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x318e…fc89backed Yes26c73.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.