TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x51ff…cf90

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+124.9%+$24.98
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$11.78
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$5.53
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
Will Haiti win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Will Algeria win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Will Russia win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Serbia win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.96
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Will Wales win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)backed Botafogo FR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-07-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Will CA Unión win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.92
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.17
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will CA Unión win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+75.4%+$31.74
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.14
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25.4%+$3.81
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1593.3%14 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick73cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$15.1
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.2%+$13.65
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.43
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+45.5%+$5.01
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+28.3%+$4.24
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+32.3%+$4.84
Nets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.23
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$71.53
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+38.5%+$6.92
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$6.38
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$9.86
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$41.88
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$5.55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.11
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gwangju: Sho Shimabukuro vs Yuta Shimizubacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Les Sables d'Olonne: Mona Barthel vs Dominika Salkovabacked Barthel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$101.94
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+138.1%+$18.87
Qatar Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+27.4%+$9.41
Qatar Total Open: Karolina Muchova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.48
Qatar Total Open: Emma Raducanu vs Camila Osoriobacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Transylvania Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Daria Snigurbacked Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37.8%+$9.3
Ostrava Open: Diane Parry vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+31%+$6.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$35.23
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.92
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$6.16
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick74cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick74cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick75cpaid-58.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. CSUN Matadorsbacked CSUN Matadors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+25%+$3.75
Vermont Catamounts vs. Maine Black Bearsbacked Maine Black Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Velada del Año 6: Viruzz vs Gero Ariasbacked Gero Arias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$22.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$18.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+26.9%+$20.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Women's Knockout - Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.