TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,017
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,973

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,017 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a92…6941backed Yes61c9,802$5,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,826.6114443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes25c7,494$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,583.312634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No48c4,679$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,258.31,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c4,217$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.385,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8b…e0dbbacked Yes70c3,030$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes62c2,055$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.336866.2%45 W · 23 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c1,710$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.398,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No43c1,235$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.195125.5%13 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No41c1,060$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.0514824.3%36 W · 112 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes63c1,048$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.7735758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x610b…b5b2backed No23c999.95$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.994339.5%17 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No37c860.83$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.3630847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1f4…92b2backed Yes63c698.43$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes28c684.49$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.1319144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed No74c662.05$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.315651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes26c656.55$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.6937851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No4c630.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.321132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes59c600.77$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.5416255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c564.24$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.471,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed No3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15130%0 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Yes59c455.26$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.226274.2%46 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes80c398.59$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7007…5c07backed Yes76c388.67$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes64c383.82$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.181758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes62c371.35$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.232,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes73c360.2$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.284943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes63c325.34$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.059361.3%57 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No72c317.02$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.251,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes59c315.25$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3310456.7%59 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No30c274.14$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1828158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Yes65c267.07$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.471855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes74c261.04$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.871560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No64c260.05$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.331,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No30c257.24$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1763657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Yes60c248.46$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.114761.7%29 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No72c211.66$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.41,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f3…2568backed Yes71c207.59$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c202.08$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.53,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes59c198.84$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.221,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No75c198.68$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.011,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29db…1c1abacked Yes63c194.03$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27d0…5444backed Yes25c187.18$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.39520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes26c183.77$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+82.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes54c170.76$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7417857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4422049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes60c159.86$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3119056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c150.24$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.181,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02fd…c162backed Yes59c149.49$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.363669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes59c149.09$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0818859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes69c143.27$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4133560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No24c135.9$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.911,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c133.72$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.51,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d6…9f96backed Yes67c129.31$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7316347.9%78 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No76c99.62$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5523551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783f…8f90backed Yes26c97.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+111.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc55a…7281backed No38c87.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7190…00e7backed No41c85.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.171369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+46.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0115…ca23backed Yes58c84.52$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed Yes53c82.51$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.78875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked No30c81.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.185156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes73c76.65$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.536369.8%44 W · 19 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Yes26c73.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+90.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x605f…425abacked Yes26c73.14$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa823…3327backed Yes26c72.22$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.15040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Yes66c69.33$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.316558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No37c64.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.849741.2%40 W · 57 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No52c62.54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.652,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes26c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.43735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Yes62c57.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.741241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes26c56.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.15444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Yes61c54.32$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.158964%57 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No47c53.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2794848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No38c53.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4271619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes76c52.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.871,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb71…288ebacked Yes63c46.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.422185.7%18 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+48.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No31c44.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.636757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No74c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.616960.9%103 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No74c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.615459.1%91 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Yes63c39.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.711861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed Yes66c39.51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.321291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick62cpaid+44.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1a96…f4d4backed Yes39c38.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.61333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a22…2929backed Yes60c36.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.81728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-53.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f7a…3f62backed Yes72c36.83$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+78.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes66c36.48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4512464.5%80 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa44…752abacked Yes53c34.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c29…ed84backed Yes58c34.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+191.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67f1…53f1backed Yes44c33.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.65580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b80…8b39backed Yes59c33.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.566943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Yes70c32.72$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.683737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c31.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.051,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8f…ae52backed Yes62c31.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.79850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf97…c4a9backed Yes60c29.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes71c28.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4713457.5%77 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes63c28.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.387660.5%46 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f4…ac20backed Yes62c28.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.78425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-59.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ff…cf90backed No75c26.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.71866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed No76c25.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.713467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Yes64c24.79$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.982369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.