South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1777b02a6b76953a360c45a668038d83a8461cab5a4c76529b59b63548bdda4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 25c | 5,142$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 37c | 4,781$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.63 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 2,657$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.52 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 1,528$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.07 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 1,286$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.41 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 24c | 1,112$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.82 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed No | 75c | 945$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 68c | 719.17$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.71 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 77c | 596.6$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.09 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 77c | 476.78$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.57 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 72c | 353.18$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.89 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 63c | 330.86$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.62 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 76c | 324.54$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked No | 72c | 313.15$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 32c | 265.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked No | 74c | 202.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 197.43$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 73c | 194.41$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 188.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 31c | 144.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 30c | 143.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 74c | 132.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 77c | 132.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 75c | 132.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 31c | 130.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 79c | 126.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d6…9f96backed Yes | 16c | 121.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 74c | 102.35$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Yes | 30c | 100.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 95.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 95.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 28c | 94.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed No | 73c | 94.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 76c | 88.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 62c | 88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7190…00e7backed Yes | 30c | 79.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed No | 72c | 78.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked No | 74c | 70.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 65.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 62.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 22c | 60.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 32c | 59.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 71c | 56.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 75c | 55.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 33c | 51.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 26c | 51.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 28c | 48.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…db61backed Yes | 29c | 43.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 72c | 43.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 30c | 41.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 28c | 37.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed No | 77c | 34.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 80c | 32.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed No | 73c | 26.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…2a81backed No | 67c | 19.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed No | 66c | 19.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4693…bf61backed No | 74c | 18.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 72c | 15.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed No | 78c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 76c | 13.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-02?No won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.