TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2605…2b17

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Asian League, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 62 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3974.4%29 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$44.2
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Egypt vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.68
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$19.38
Will Slovenia win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Will Serbia win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$102.77
Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$91.93
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Cyprus win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Cyprus vs. Moldova: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$83.16
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$179.57
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Lithuania vs. Georgia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$111.22
Armenia vs. Belarus: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$107.14
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
Scotland vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Senegal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+54%+$26.98
Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$98.25
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$116.67
Argentina vs. Mauritania: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+76%+$75.97
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norwich City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Oxford United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$110.96
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$77.66
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Will Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+525%+$78.75
Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.46
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-04-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-03-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$75
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 14 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT12100%12 W · 0 L+4.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+67.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Asian League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$78.16
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Kawasaki Frontale: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$92.86
Vissel Kōbe vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$131.17
Kashiwa Reysol vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$59.05
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$73.89
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Fagiano Okayama vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.23
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+28%+$55.94
All 12 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick66cpaid-43.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+90.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+73.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29.3%+$73.27
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$70.51
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.