Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f0f3f658c9eac125a0cb299a590543fb24c6aa70f0a6b9591b172cd403649ac

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $114,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,160 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No	77c	17,668$13,642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,026.01	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	72c	7,768$5,565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,203.16	4,768	41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes	24c	5,263$1,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,263	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No	76c	5,000$3,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,199.97	39	71.8%28 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	70cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	76c	4,454$3,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,069.03	356	52.8%188 W · 168 L	+15.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	15c	3,081$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.61	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes	9c	2,842$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.48	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc1b…62c9backed Yes	24c	2,558$614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	76c	2,521$1,924 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$596.59	1,244	49.4%615 W · 629 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe427…c02bbacked Yes	23c	2,270$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	26cpaid	+43.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes	23c	2,174$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes	24c	2,083$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	125	32.8%41 W · 84 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No	76c	2,057$1,573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$483.68	1,007	51.5%519 W · 488 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes	24c	1,875$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes	24c	1,612$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes	3c	1,488$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.26	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8123…9041backed Yes	29c	1,379$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.33per pick	53cpaid	-70%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes	24c	1,279$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes	23c	1,200$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281	106	26.4%28 W · 78 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes	29c	1,051$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	102	32.4%33 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24ba…9625backed Yes	23c	1,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x80c3…5ac7backed Yes	46c	908.7$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes	24c	833.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	47	34%16 W · 31 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes	20c	712.57$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.72	223	35.4%79 W · 144 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No	76c	699.99$534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.66	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed Yes	33c	606.06$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+4.5wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes	20c	605.26$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	452	24.8%112 W · 340 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	23c	591$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.93	689	42.2%291 W · 398 L	+13.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes	23c	589.92$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.68	399	48.4%193 W · 206 L	+9.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No	76c	581$442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.44	845	49%414 W · 431 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Yes	18c	562.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	62	25.8%16 W · 46 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	25cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	79c	549.84$437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.93	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	33c	500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	91	34.1%31 W · 60 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	155	43.9%68 W · 87 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Yes	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	88	31.8%28 W · 60 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+16%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Yes	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe29b…da59backed Yes	26c	411.07$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.34	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	25c	410$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.15	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c4…d86abacked Yes	24c	351.88$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c4b…2b64backed Yes	23c	320.82$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.79	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Yes	16c	317.1$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.74	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes	33c	303.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	108	50.9%55 W · 53 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes	33c	303.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes	23c	300$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbd…9d9ebacked Yes	42c	300$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked No	76c	290.54$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.73	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	77c	289.31$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.54	1,240	42.2%523 W · 717 L	-29.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No	71c	281.69$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.69	17	82.4%14 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	74cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	23c	260.46$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.91	173	37.6%65 W · 108 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1727…680ebacked No	74c	250$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	42	61.9%26 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fcd…f84fbacked Yes	44c	249.99$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.1	122	39.3%48 W · 74 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes	23c	226.96$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.2	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No	76c	221$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.04	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No	74c	220.06$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.18	413	44.8%185 W · 228 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd4…bfd7backed Yes	23c	218.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.3	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	20c	218.36$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.68	382	33.2%127 W · 255 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Yes	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.8wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x388b…25ddbacked Yes	24c	216.67$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.29per pick	51cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Yes	24c	209.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+2.5wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c61…b055backed Yes	9c	206.25$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	76c	205.14$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.23	2,558	47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L	+44.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed No	72c	203.01$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.38per pick	63cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x850b…5493backed No	78c	200$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No	76c	200$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9684…a461backed No	76c	199.99$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes	27c	183.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.23	60	56.7%34 W · 26 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes	29c	178.17$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.44	88	39.8%35 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes	13c	175$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.13	322	22.4%72 W · 250 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes	24c	166.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	155	34.8%54 W · 101 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes	33c	164$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.83	165	48.5%80 W · 85 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x538d…e85ebacked Yes	21c	150.49$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b1…3678backed Yes	24c	150$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+94.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3798…c20ebacked Yes	24c	147.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.36	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes	24c	145.83$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	92	35.9%33 W · 59 L	-7.7wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No	76c	142.35$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.25	306	66%202 W · 104 L	+57.3wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+76.4%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x1afd…f3bebacked Yes	9c	137.42$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	30cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad1…2eccbacked Yes	24c	133.33$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f4…c477backed No	77c	129.87$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.87	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	73cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdba6…13a3backed No	78c	129.56$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.63	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes	31c	128$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.59	72	27.8%20 W · 52 L	-11.2wins	-0.16per pick	43cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No	76c	127.29$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.55	365	63%230 W · 135 L	+32.3wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0bb7…bd5dbacked No	78c	124.72$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.44	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No	69c	114.88$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.65	139	48.9%68 W · 71 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Yes	23c	113.48$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.1	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1046…7041backed No	78c	111.58$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+29%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes	35c	111.17$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.17	121	39.7%48 W · 73 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes	24c	110$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	278	46.4%129 W · 149 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc415…4e42backed Yes	18c	109.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	77c	108.7$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…af88backed Yes	23c	107.87$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.81	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed Yes	44c	104.94$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.17	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b83…66a2backed Yes	24c	104.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	22cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Yes	24c	104.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee4…4b3ebacked Yes	23c	103.78$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.87	86	46.5%40 W · 46 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No	78c	103.21$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.71	79	72.2%57 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	71cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No	76c	100$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	209	58.9%123 W · 86 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?this page
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?No won
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event