Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe769bcddc4f5a21718540fbb224af1151aedd0a91e41e21d7871e299007f6a5c

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $475,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,979 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 347 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb187…bbe1backed Yes	21c	34,850$7,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,266.91	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	80c	25,562$20,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,201.36	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed No	80c	15,000$11,958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,041.91	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	79c	14,285$11,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,959.83	1,220	49.8%607 W · 613 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes	21c	10,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes	20c	10,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No	80c	8,406$6,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,681.24	109	62.4%68 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No	80c	8,015$6,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,603	212	53.8%114 W · 98 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes	20c	7,842$1,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,578.78	241	46.9%113 W · 128 L	+21.1wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes	16c	7,490$1,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,164.99	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8d7…1252backed No	80c	7,327$5,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,465.35	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	76cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed No	79c	7,165$5,659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,506.06	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdb0…f8babacked No	80c	6,500$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	72cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes	20c	6,250$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	176	34.1%60 W · 116 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No	80c	6,000$4,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,229.98	160	50.6%81 W · 79 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f16…5fe7backed Yes	20c	5,269$1,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,053.74	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2227…57eabacked Yes	20c	4,737$947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$947.36	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes	21c	4,252$893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.92	155	34.2%53 W · 102 L	-9.7wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes	20c	3,500$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705	157	48.4%76 W · 81 L	+13.8wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+24%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	22c	3,382$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.18	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No	80c	3,303$2,643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660.65	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No	80c	3,200$2,544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656	109	51.4%56 W · 53 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	20c	3,050$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes	20c	3,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No	80c	3,000$2,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$615	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Yes	19c	2,500$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes	19c	2,500$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.99	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	80c	2,304$1,843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460.83	356	52.8%188 W · 168 L	+15.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Yes	21c	1,981$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.99	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+3.1wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No	79c	1,947$1,538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.93	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes	11c	1,909$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.56	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	79c	1,800$1,415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+27.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No	80c	1,767$1,413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.12	845	49%414 W · 431 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No	80c	1,723$1,379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.64	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	80c	1,669$1,335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.35	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No	80c	1,632$1,301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.61	1,007	51.5%519 W · 488 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes	2c	1,628$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.56	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes	20c	1,600$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Yes	20c	1,552$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	23cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	20c	1,502$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.53	382	33.2%127 W · 255 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes	20c	1,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes	20c	1,400$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.07	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes	18c	1,389$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76df…b9c5backed No	80c	1,305$1,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.96	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes	20c	1,250$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Yes	8c	1,048$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.3	31	29%9 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	19c	1,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	120	20.8%25 W · 95 L	-9.0wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes	2c	1,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.93	346	28.6%99 W · 247 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	235	31.1%73 W · 162 L	-14.3wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	137	27%37 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes	21c	1,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+63.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes	21c	952.38$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a5…b734backed Yes	17c	900$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda70…66b3backed No	80c	858.61$687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.72	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	66cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0756…38c9backed Yes	21c	809.52$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No	80c	800$636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes	7c	800$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	452	24.8%112 W · 340 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes	9c	799.45$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.9	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Yes	23c	717.39$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab4a…55aabacked Yes	20c	705$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.31per pick	56cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes	20c	700$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	292	38.4%112 W · 180 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No	80c	700$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	399	48.4%193 W · 206 L	+9.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c1…932ebacked Yes	21c	700$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Yes	21c	680.9$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.99	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-3.6wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes	21c	675$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.08	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No	80c	668.41$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.68	27	63%17 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes	21c	664.29$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.08	271	41.7%113 W · 158 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdda6…72f0backed Yes	21c	652.43$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x658c…4c2dbacked Yes	20c	650$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes	20c	650$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	194	26.3%51 W · 143 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes	20c	630$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	62	33.9%21 W · 41 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	21c	604.64$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.94	233	25.8%60 W · 173 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes	21c	583.52$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.54	107	26.2%28 W · 79 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e1…2600backed Yes	21c	544.38$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	121	39.7%48 W · 73 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes	20c	506.56$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.5	223	35.4%79 W · 144 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad8…075abacked No	79c	505.06$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.06	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	70cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes	17c	500.6$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.82	87	37.9%33 W · 54 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed No	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	68cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d3b…63b7backed Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-3.1wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-34%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab77…da8bbacked Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b49…178dbacked Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+115.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd8…9720backed Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	92	46.7%43 W · 49 L	+9.1wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	89	19.1%17 W · 72 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-40%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffbe…77a0backed Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	42cpaid	+99.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaac8…0274backed Yes	20c	491.85$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-51%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39b…eb0dbacked No	80c	477.44$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.49	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c5…7d0ebacked Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes	4c	461.9$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	286	33.9%97 W · 189 L	+19.7wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Yes	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-3.2wins	-0.18per pick	35cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x152e…8285backed No	78c	446.15$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.15	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	80c	440.76$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.2	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?this page
Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?No won
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event