TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf39b…eb0d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Mls at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT6645.5%30 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$189.44
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.54
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,117.77
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.9
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$283.86
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$193.46
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$646.87
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.92
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.7
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$344.67
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,343Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$401.12
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.11
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$96.31
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$59.03
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.16
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.14
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+196.5%+$1,059.78
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.59
Hornets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.83
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+144%+$116.39
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.46
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.31
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+41%+$111.99
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+170.6%+$566.61
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.08
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Huracán vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.25
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$54.55
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$56.24
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$23.99
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$892Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+26%+$231.58
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.06
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.45
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$168.54
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.26
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.77
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.17
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$42.55
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.65
Will FBC Melgar win on 2026-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+40.9%+$39.82
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.81
Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.36
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$95.49
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.44
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+431.5%+$217.16
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+244.8%+$133.38
Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25.1%+$115.19
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$115.32
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$82.81
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.55
Will Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$120.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$19.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$888.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.