TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$367,677
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$388,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $367,677 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x252f…4f62backed Yes0c100,108$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.95843.1%25 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c25,484$6,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,298.1263346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No75c20,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes21c16,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,359.981643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No76c15,088$11,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,621.111662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes6c11,102$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.1239743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Yes25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.981952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No74c8,958$6,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.483063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes2c8,466$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.653857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes24c7,630$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.1426645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes0c5,262$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.032245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No75c5,009$3,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.282161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed No75c4,017$3,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.141478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes18c4,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7208523.5%20 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe137…0c01backed Yes25c3,684$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9211136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c3,477$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.3959741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc0d…78a5backed Yes25c2,834$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.540%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes25c2,746$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.591020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid+49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No76c2,455$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.483647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes26c2,327$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60514532.4%47 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa83…4965backed Yes26c2,308$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes2c2,302$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710717.8%19 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7211…c51bbacked Yes26c2,122$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.73922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-62.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Yes9c2,022$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8469…f3aebacked Yes25c1,904$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.03119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-79.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed No76c1,902$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.483158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked No75c1,506$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3752766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes6c1,433$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.235230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes25c1,400$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3508146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0bc…b904backed Yes3c1,332$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes13c1,300$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17021938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4a…2881backed Yes25c1,274$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.44333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes2c1,204$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010628.3%30 W · 76 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes25c1,027$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.8429746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes13c1,010$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1342536%9 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79e9…6c98backed No75c1,001$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.17955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c875.96$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.4212352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No74c781.34$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.155145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002850%14 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda70…66b3backed No75c754.99$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.751662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b9b…b900backed No75c751.63$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.91785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick76cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes4c745.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.11,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed No75c733.33$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.334759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes25c700$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1754233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb22a…8e6cbacked Yes26c661.54$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1721127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-60.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes25c611.96$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9127236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc9…21adbacked Yes25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No75c597.98$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4913146.6%61 W · 70 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x650e…9147backed Yes8c568$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.441154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes25c544.4$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.716127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes7c529$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0312036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12529138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes7c500$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337132.4%23 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39b…eb0dbacked No75c499.87$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes22c480.36$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.671618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011735.9%42 W · 75 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No75c470$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.510660.4%64 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb5…b3cfbacked Yes20c450$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No75c448.47$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1214650.7%74 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51be…1805backed Yes25c445.68$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…0399backed No75c405$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcab1…65babacked No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0c…89ccbacked No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+172.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x92f7…a6c2backed Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005416.7%9 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1044339.5%17 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004812.5%6 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6d1…109bbacked Yes25c399$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae9d…d417backed Yes25c397.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x552b…604bbacked No76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd94…2020backed Yes22c392.75$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.781040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes8c389.76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.623748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2232…6cb8backed Yes26c372.96$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No75c363.83$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9612644.4%56 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes3c361$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8317848.9%87 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b98…7061backed No75c350$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No76c303$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4129846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ffe…4ef8backed Yes26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7844955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aed…53e2backed Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae16…7111backed No75c260$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Yes21c257.14$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-53.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes25c251$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7520644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes17c250$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429426.6%25 W · 69 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602030%6 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No74c230$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.817855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No74c224.99$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.511152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No76c217.44$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.321460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507050%35 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503520%7 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524334.9%15 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.