TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79e9…6c98

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT11059.1%65 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$282.75
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.86
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$48.59
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$767Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$766.83
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$291.87
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$337.27
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$274.94
Wizards vs. Hawksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$268.86
Jazz vs. Rocketsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$79.88
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$974.17
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$66.84
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$349.1
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$138.44
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$80.64
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.77
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$163.78
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$169.63
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$373.65
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$94.91
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$96.55
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+37%+$21.43
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$23.61
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$56.7
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.7%+$195.94
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37.2%+$217.4
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$127.47
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$723Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$240.84
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$56.26
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$334.55
Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$60.07
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.68
Will Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.2%+$227.39
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26.36
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$177.41
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$184.58
Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$91.19
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.86
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$65.86
Will Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+33.3%+$250.17
Will Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+40.5%+$117.12
Will Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$351.42
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,057.92
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.35
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$179.78
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7.43
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-72.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+92.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: RED Canids vs Sentinels (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$55.68
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$117.87
Will Poland vs. Albania end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$122.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+37%+$51.81
Set 1 Winner: Royer vs Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$49.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$43.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.