TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,963 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes22c10,674$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.242,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No78c10,226$7,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.7810057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f45…180bbacked Yes5c7,260$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3635226.9%14 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes22c6,327$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.836,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes5c6,300$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3153933.3%13 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No78c5,380$4,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.619856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No78c5,208$4,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.685164.7%33 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No78c4,042$3,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.223881.6%31 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes22c3,685$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.761,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes23c3,065$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7055628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66048150.9%245 W · 236 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes18c2,735$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.4435941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No77c2,043$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.896737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44090751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No77c1,850$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.751,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23cd…2e45backed Yes5c1,658$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852832.1%9 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc4b…7b6fbacked No79c1,616$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.461643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes22c1,480$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.5812448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No77c1,351$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.773548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes23c1,348$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3106437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No77c1,037$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.5172249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79e9…6c98backed No78c1,034$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.391145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes25c1,023$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.910626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No77c1,020$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.593971.8%28 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009134.1%31 W · 60 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2935…96f7backed Yes3c999.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-76.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked No77c973.41$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.882466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+64.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes22c869.09$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes23c743.48$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1716233.9%21 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fba…92e7backed Yes11c722$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.062623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes4c662$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.489732%31 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba94…c78bbacked No78c640$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7abc…9ff7backed Yes23c608.7$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b9b…b900backed No78c510.95$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.41450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf49…e7f4backed No77c509.8$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.251172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11511645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x039b…7007backed Yes25c396.03$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.01825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed No78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6213565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No77c341.72$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.626444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes21c340.22$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.245224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed No76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725759.6%34 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc579…21cdbacked Yes4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No76c279$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.967176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Yes23c278.26$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No77c268.97$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.868666.3%57 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes6c241.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7625530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1b5…c986backed No75c231.24$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.122070%14 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+72.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes23c228.49$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.559230.4%28 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No77c220.83$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7956453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes23c220$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.621253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf1…7ee3backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf17…9c04backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Yes23c182.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…e114backed Yes23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402969%20 W · 9 L+11.0wins+0.38per pick31cpaid+136.4%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes22c169$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1868942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa633…1cf7backed Yes18c140.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eac…525ebacked Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes23c130$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.927227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No77c122.39$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1511866.1%78 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes22c120$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.422229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes23c115.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4833753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3df4…1a1bbacked Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2716548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bd6…b985backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210838.9%42 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2724146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…8f69backed Yes23c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.48043.8%35 W · 45 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+37.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb281…d32fbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes23c71.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.520246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ee…13d8backed Yes24c70.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea8…4caabacked Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2fc…b667backed Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a7…7c17backed Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes22c64.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.219145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked No78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.118265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes23c59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.571,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No77c55.65$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.829259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe06b…147fbacked No73c52.23$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fe3…4766backed Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2386…1a2dbacked Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38a3…b461backed Yes22c47.68$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.492222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No76c45.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1115461%94 W · 60 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No78c44.01$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6421049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e2d…a9b1backed No79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42171.4%15 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1974…bc18backed No73c39.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.641643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44b0…2a3fbacked No77c27.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.34757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed No78c27.06$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.957252.8%38 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed No78c27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.942152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No78c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7235661.2%218 W · 138 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eff…c077backed No78c20.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.43475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed No78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.236056.7%34 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c6…5004backed No78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.23650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No77c14.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.326959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed No75c13.51$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.381546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.