TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$393,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$414,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,704 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes15c40,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0005345.3%24 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes15c31,628$4,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,590.863933.3%13 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes5c22,665$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.9835941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fba…92e7backed Yes1c11,844$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.442623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35cb…bd5fbacked Yes4c11,708$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.63520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+105.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes3c9,105$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.051305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes12c8,841$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0675324.5%13 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ab3…12b2backed Yes14c8,416$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.22425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes15c6,680$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0025628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes13c6,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78024146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Yes14c5,881$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.312035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes13c5,826$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.3338649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x632a…ac85backed Yes14c5,347$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.51520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f45…180bbacked Yes2c4,454$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005226.9%14 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes14c4,175$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.7568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes13c3,400$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45619735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39015944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce0d…3a64backed Yes15c2,819$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.891428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf17…9c04backed Yes14c2,626$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.636728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe085…5474backed Yes0c2,324$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104418.2%8 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-53.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2bc…9d73backed Yes1c2,100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x761d…0687backed Yes1c1,913$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.161040%4 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+44.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes15c1,849$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.620246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes15c1,795$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.251,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes6c1,500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc127…66e9backed Yes14c1,386$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes15c1,347$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes15c1,199$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8523325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes15c1,159$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.021,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes13c1,000$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12823531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104930.6%15 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809134.1%31 W · 60 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes15c960.6$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0913939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9614…67fdbacked Yes1c936.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1250%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes5c820$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf35f…64c5backed Yes15c800$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes14c670.03$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.86240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007229.2%21 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes14c619.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.922229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1918…06afbacked Yes16c600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes13c535.42$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.640953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes15c533.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806420.3%13 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x880a…e678backed Yes14c507$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf280…f201backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301020%2 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+55.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes9c466.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4045224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0531…3770backed Yes15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8aa…1342backed Yes13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes14c364.02$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9630050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcab1…65babacked Yes15c350$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa633…1cf7backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Yes14c319.64$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.757548%36 W · 39 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc097…720cbacked Yes4c317.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc16…7d64backed Yes15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f57…f8c5backed Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482045%9 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5bb…7466backed Yes14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes9c300$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2821143.1%91 W · 120 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453119.4%6 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked Yes15c260$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394827.1%13 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-26.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes15c252.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.921,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes7c241$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2732222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bef…f80abacked Yes14c235.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332839.3%11 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes14c224.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4725532.9%84 W · 171 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa01a…4497backed Yes8c208.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019632.7%64 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3059645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc513…ffe7backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306327%17 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3211923.5%28 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes13c200$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.674731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes15c178.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7610820.4%22 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes14c178$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9236845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4744…2d6dbacked Yes15c165.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes16c159.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255928.8%17 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes13c149.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4333124.2%80 W · 251 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…5379backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b36…cfdebacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes15c132.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205920.3%12 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e9f…5b6fbacked Yes15c130.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.552642.3%11 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x72fb…5316backed Yes15c130$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes14c121$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1524146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes15c112$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4216548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a5…8f69backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158043.8%35 W · 45 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+37.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8992…e1fdbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-73.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb680…c893backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153613.9%5 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88ee…13d8backed Yes17c91.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes12c89.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9442324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x664b…a286backed Yes15c85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.758439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes15c80.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.121,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0631…1fc1backed Yes14c78.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84e5…2303backed Yes16c63.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108543.5%37 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1974…bc18backed Yes16c62.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.