TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35cb…bd5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 59 out of 100; worst AI at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+45.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+384.5%+$384.55
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$721Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$309
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$779.22
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+369.2%+$1,662.52
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+270.4%+$94.9
Rainbow FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$159
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+150.7%+$1,777.48
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+83.3%+$618.89
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+135.1%+$344.76
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+92.3%+$96
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.3
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+39.4%+$53.14
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+105.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick13cpaid+566.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$225
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.