AI · resolved market
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeec3721d3883d5a27a992090d85c8f68fffe1f40774c3a891d078eed10d42508
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $527,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $529,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $527,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 598 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x662a…77b7backed No | 75c | 21,781$16,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,461.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…65d1backed Yes | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 0c | 17,405$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 15c | 11,243$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.53 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…5c3fbacked Yes | 26c | 9,837$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…edefbacked No | 72c | 9,762$7,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed No | 80c | 9,571$7,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 9c | 8,894$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.45 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed No | 79c | 8,621$6,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…01ddbacked Yes | 24c | 8,368$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.94 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…9556backed Yes | 21c | 6,960$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed No | 80c | 6,281$5,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…4238backed Yes | 25c | 6,015$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…b4f5backed Yes | 2c | 5,721$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Yes | 18c | 4,618$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 22c | 4,608$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.38 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c05…0205backed Yes | 17c | 4,400$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3e…cfaebacked Yes | 9c | 4,229$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 4,053$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 26c | 3,780$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…eb64backed Yes | 21c | 3,777$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 21c | 3,704$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.48 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked Yes | 22c | 3,285$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 20c | 3,219$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.97 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,165$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.67 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…b716backed Yes | 26c | 3,139$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.13 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…cd70backed Yes | 18c | 2,914$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a37…712abacked Yes | 22c | 2,780$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…9defbacked Yes | 21c | 2,694$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…a252backed No | 79c | 2,639$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes | 16c | 2,572$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 2,500$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.27 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78eb…9a2bbacked No | 78c | 2,400$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…f573backed Yes | 4c | 2,376$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…33f7backed Yes | 20c | 2,234$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c3…7dd2backed Yes | 26c | 2,226$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.59 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Yes | 18c | 2,180$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.87 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -67%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c72…a042backed No | 77c | 2,163$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…4030backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 16c | 1,947$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.66 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 75c | 1,727$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.77 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…16f6backed Yes | 31c | 1,600$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7369…59a1backed Yes | 23c | 1,592$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…0720backed Yes | 26c | 1,513$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,495$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…509ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,460$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf417…3042backed Yes | 21c | 1,453$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed Yes | 27c | 1,435$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…06fcbacked No | 75c | 1,432$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a8…7efabacked No | 77c | 1,406$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.13 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 48cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 25c | 1,367$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.12 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2b…3e70backed No | 75c | 1,331$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 77c | 1,316$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.04 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf218…37a7backed Yes | 18c | 1,291$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 10c | 1,289$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.54 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…95d4backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…1715backed Yes | 15c | 1,218$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…80e4backed Yes | 30c | 1,215$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 76c | 1,177$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…7788backed Yes | 28c | 1,136$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 2c | 1,116$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked No | 73c | 1,110$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.53 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 1,086$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.81 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 21c | 1,077$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.9 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…5ef3backed Yes | 18c | 1,053$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,053$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…1f46backed Yes | 19c | 1,037$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…e36dbacked No | 75c | 1,035$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f4…c0f3backed Yes | 28c | 1,032$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d20…6073backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…f52fbacked No | 75c | 991.35$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed Yes | 22c | 963$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.86 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…c5aabacked Yes | 20c | 961.08$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d10…82cfbacked Yes | 25c | 933.39$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked Yes | 22c | 931$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…3c98backed Yes | 25c | 928.17$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf097…b974backed Yes | 4c | 926$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…36b3backed Yes | 29c | 920.63$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 13c | 913$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…86c6backed Yes | 24c | 895.95$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…e59dbacked Yes | 19c | 888$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.91 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…80a2backed Yes | 29c | 860$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44af…c7ddbacked Yes | 18c | 853.35$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad7…7608backed Yes | 29c | 839.14$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…8cf3backed Yes | 22c | 836.26$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa36…a4b4backed No | 75c | 825.82$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3be…94e4backed Yes | 25c | 799.98$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…186bbacked Yes | 25c | 791.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed No | 77c | 789$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…e62fbacked No | 78c | 781$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 20c | 768.76$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.31 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 24c | 750$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.68 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35cb…bd5fbacked Yes | 30c | 750$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Yes | 17c | 702.41$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 24c | 700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…1c42backed Yes | 22c | 696.94$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.