TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0042…e62f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
129
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Weather, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-61.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.4
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$130.75
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$121.6
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$286.44
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.98
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.59
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.51
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$622.79
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.22
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,259Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$397.68
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$726Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$181.4
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$156.5
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$282.72
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$178.4
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$611.03
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$105.84
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$192.09
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Trump say "First Term" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$70.77
Will the US strike Syria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$37.53
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$102.3
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$64.38
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+350.5%+$261.41
Will Reed Sheppard win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.78
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.15
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.8
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.2
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$42.24
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.92
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.5
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.45
Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.81
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$95.46
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24.48
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.52
All 15 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+52.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$390.71
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.17
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$222.31
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$491.7
Will 70 to 99 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$78.4
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.82
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+170.3%+$164.43
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$123.93
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 5 be between 60 and 70?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+25%+$128
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$87.36
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.76
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+77.6%+$243.83
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116.16
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$546.75
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$19.35
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$218.24
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.79
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.28
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$268.8
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$986Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$986.4
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$580.86
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$516
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$171.82
GPT ads by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$26.27
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$327.2
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$62.55
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$139.86
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$29.87
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.2
Canada recession before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.12
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$331.52
Will Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.29
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 85-89 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$701.1
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be below 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.97
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.76
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+484.8%+$771.8
Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$43.12
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$81.9
Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14.04
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37%+$121.23
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.54
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$387.63
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$96.8
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$234.72
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$131.3
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$70.1
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$931Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+49.9%+$464.85
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$50.16
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+132.3%+$688.51
Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+488.2%+$737.87
Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$52.06
Will Benicio Del Toro (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$56.41
All 12 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-71%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocksbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.41
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.05
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Acesbacked Evansville Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.52
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+67.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+235.6%+$440.86
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$197.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$488.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+391.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+391.1%+$660.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$219.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$173.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$128.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$53.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Spirit make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LOUD qualify to MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.