TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,380
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,472

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,380 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b10…2fc5backed No39c13,300$5,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,18710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa45f…70fbbacked No39c10,595$4,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,132.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98aa…3356backed Yes61c8,190$4,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,194.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e56…716abacked Yes61c8,130$4,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,170.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0be…c460backed Yes61c7,575$4,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,954.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58fe…a8c5backed No10c1,745$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ed…ec87backed No9c1,518$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.17757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+55.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3df6…0f0fbacked No10c1,403$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88f1…8e46backed No10c1,358$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.81346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb212…0f8ebacked No9c1,306$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.54825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-51.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc4…4a8ebacked No9c1,292$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.281163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick39cpaid+71.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe788…2c65backed No1c1,234$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Yes75c1,203$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.1711753%62 W · 55 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6f…deaebacked No10c904$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82ae…4325backed Yes63c798.92$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.92922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-61.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x546a…1abbbacked No10c731$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.11154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No36c700.09$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.0722750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa1ec…46cebacked No10c700$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked No5c616.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.79894.5%4 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02b…e86dbacked No9c540$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d93…7f30backed No10c530$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.771540%6 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73df…ba67backed No9c507$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.631540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x293b…c83bbacked No10c486$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.61442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccc2…271abacked No10c436$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No43c435.47$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1610542.9%45 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No24c391.17$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8835352.4%185 W · 168 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x997f…b3c2backed No40c385$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-51.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa488…f562backed No9c374$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.661353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+68.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x809a…f315backed Yes70c352$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.922240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3506…4815backed No22c343$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.461323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick33cpaid+23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca36…bb1dbacked No9c312$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.082045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No39c311.15$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1835049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes76c309.57$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.826048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3e…f9d4backed No34c305$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.781844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x987e…990dbacked No10c304$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0310548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes57c300$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1289939.4%39 W · 60 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+12.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed No6c292.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.889516.8%16 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e47…db27backed No9c279$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.111861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes55c272.89$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.839051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9498…d950backed No10c269$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes64c259.35$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5418536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c42…a64bbacked No9c252$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.681346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaef9…0acbbacked No10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x282e…3eaabacked Yes66c242.77$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.541163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No23c240.94$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.61,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb6…cfe8backed Yes78c240$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa400…ec34backed No9c220$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd008…e9dbbacked No9c218$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.621060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+67.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa98d…3560backed No46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f7d…a315backed No9c213$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.171323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-55%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5884…3191backed No49c208$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.922744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked No6c205.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes66c205$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3322243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7895848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e6…6fcbbacked No47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8401…a498backed Yes60c199$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.62040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d37…a680backed Yes64c182.59$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc895…9bfabacked Yes52c182$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.361650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…8191backed No39c181$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.851346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid+33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a10…e442backed Yes78c174$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.281241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31a8…1f07backed No9c174$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.663240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x964c…44acbacked No41c174$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.661838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26ad…990ebacked No48c172$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.562326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-36.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…8085backed No9c171$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.392055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39be…5e7bbacked No47c169$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.432630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed Yes65c167.06$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.855158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked No39c166.14$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.621650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128e…001dbacked No10c166$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.61353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc2…3811backed No9c153$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.771241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes62c152.83$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.834454.5%24 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…190cbacked No7c150$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b08…2f0fbacked Yes68c147.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.073429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1617…ec98backed No9c140$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72dd…8be4backed No22c139$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.582250%11 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab88…e0a4backed No48c139$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.22846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4516…ea0ebacked No9c137$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.332944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea25…d3aabacked Yes51c136$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.642951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…fc69backed No10c136$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x322a…3274backed No44c136$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.842951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x864a…9ed1backed No10c135$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f6e…6a74backed Yes54c134.17$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1721651.4%111 W · 105 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No8c130$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.11,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b64…bd0ebacked No9c130$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…d215backed No9c126$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.341650%8 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4348…fa2abacked Yes60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc2…40d7backed No48c124$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.521931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12c2…aa71backed No9c119$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.712955.2%16 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+48.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6163…58ccbacked No33c116$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.731936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b71…f1d9backed No9c113$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.172646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c4c…be9fbacked Yes52c113$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.242369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0042…e62fbacked No10c112$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74b8…0c87backed No9c112$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.081435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5056…f991backed No23c110$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.41741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes64c107.74$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.675839.7%23 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea7…2550backed Yes78c103$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.661540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes57c101.65$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.375145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No39c101$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3913240.2%53 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f4…0430backed No48c95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.62152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9720…f4d1backed Yes56c95$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.82454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+50.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.