TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,904 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51fd…4272backed Yes10c9,177$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.9539435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb7…3b6cbacked Yes1c1,591$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef92…43a3backed Yes1c1,567$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe788…2c65backed Yes1c1,401$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab88…e0a4backed No78c1,038$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.362846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes4c999.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403330.3%10 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick21cpaid-12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb338…1ff0backed No77c927$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.213339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccd…98f5backed Yes3c899.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No79c810.67$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.6922750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x04d4…be7cbacked No78c755$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.12740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No78c754$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6522243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eae…3562backed Yes27c717$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.59944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x159f…333fbacked Yes24c710$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+270.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaee…bd71backed No76c663$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.121573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d91…89d8backed Yes23c646$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.581533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x557a…9f70backed Yes16c584$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.44875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e4e…6533backed No74c566$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.161040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0956…9aa4backed Yes22c549$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.781338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed No73c548$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.962850%14 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No80c528.32$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.867337%27 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes27c523$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.213050%15 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa906…84e4backed No78c511$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.422157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11e9…8e90backed Yes23c504$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.921050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98cb…a127backed No77c499$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.771741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad90…9090backed No62c484$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.63234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a88…513ebacked No74c479$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.541040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24e4…09dcbacked Yes26c459$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.342441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb25c…6d89backed No77c448$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.043450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e36…2479backed No61c442$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.382441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes25c442$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.53917.9%7 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-52.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c07…956bbacked Yes23c427$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.211338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe36c…a6f0backed No77c427$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.212161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaefa…f98ebacked No78c418$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.962152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c04…b9b4backed Yes22c411$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.421060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed No78c401.56$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0620154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fc…d14dbacked Yes35c393$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.141540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ead…6c75backed Yes22c392$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.241346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe17a…c6fbbacked No73c387$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.491838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb862…5aaebacked Yes22c385$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.72045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffff…35bebacked Yes22c380$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.61827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6587…4f63backed No67c371$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.431838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dd…1bb5backed Yes26c355$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.32020%4 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-58.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0ff7…a220backed No66c351$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+286.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7321…1812backed No65c350$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.52035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76b5…4ca3backed Yes23c347$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.811861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+35.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes6c337.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8715010%15 W · 135 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83be…6f94backed Yes22c334$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.481735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07d9…4c53backed Yes23c326$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.981457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd41…3796backed No77c326$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.982142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6787…8884backed No77c325$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd11f…2d2cbacked No67c322$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.26837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+57.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb767…9b51backed Yes23c320$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.61631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd8f…4dc1backed No77c315.4$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.321560%9 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc362…7f4fbacked No65c307$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes29c301$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.072356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ae0…4590backed Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+56.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61a8…f658backed No77c293$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.391637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7546…2d93backed Yes26c292$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.921450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3734…01a3backed No61c285$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.151838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b92…f4c6backed Yes24c275$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bcb…f59bbacked No73c259$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.932642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x848d…76c1backed Yes39c249$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.113145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa647…d77dbacked Yes22c247$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.344334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd320…81a5backed Yes33c243$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.19944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes26c240.85$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.781,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd719…d8e5backed No56c239$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.163243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes39c229$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.312937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes20c222$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.46040%24 W · 36 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1832…af9ebacked Yes39c217$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.632254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb132…6943backed Yes39c214$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.461741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes16c213.08$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.991,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a0…b7bdbacked Yes34c213$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.42933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes35c207$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.455145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed7…b0a5backed No76c207$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.681861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x787a…a54dbacked No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45ff…bab6backed Yes26c196$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.962259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed No58c194.51$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0512245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e4…b332backed No73c191$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.572152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b47…9930backed Yes44c190$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.61546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4657…00d6backed Yes39c189$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.711650%8 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda64…9bc5backed Yes35c187$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.451631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5885…6562backed No67c181$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.731250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde2b…73a0backed No64c181$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.161942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d2b…fd2cbacked Yes50c176$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes22c175$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.53141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6f…deaebacked Yes23c175$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.251338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97ed…28e1backed Yes36c174$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.641250%6 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+42.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed No60c173.19$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3511753%62 W · 55 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91be…2641backed No67c173$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.093036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2111…667fbacked No74c168$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.681070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No63c166.51$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6140133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6558…e485backed No55c165$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.442751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf298…12f8backed No50c163$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.51952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04da…dc10backed Yes26c157$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.822642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2abd…74ebbacked No61c157$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.232528%7 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked No78c155.41$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.574843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x367b…48dabacked No76c155$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.982646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36ec…8852backed Yes37c153$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6113453.7%72 W · 62 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes9c147$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23283.6%1 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked No69c145.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9620951.7%108 W · 101 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.