NBA · resolved market
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x823f1f3927491ec56957b1deb19b83cb51f30a083fc88b4b90d7bb47309f0626
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,904 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 10c | 9,177$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.95 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb7…3b6cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,591$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…43a3backed Yes | 1c | 1,567$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…2c65backed Yes | 1c | 1,401$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed No | 78c | 1,038$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.36 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Yes | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed No | 77c | 927$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.21 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccd…98f5backed Yes | 3c | 899.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 79c | 810.67$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.69 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked No | 78c | 755$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.1 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 78c | 754$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.65 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…3562backed Yes | 27c | 717$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked Yes | 24c | 710$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +270.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…bd71backed No | 76c | 663$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.12 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed Yes | 23c | 646$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed Yes | 16c | 584$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…6533backed No | 74c | 566$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…9aa4backed Yes | 22c | 549$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 73c | 548$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.96 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 80c | 528.32$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.86 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 27c | 523$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.21 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed No | 78c | 511$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…8e90backed Yes | 23c | 504$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…a127backed No | 77c | 499$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 62c | 484$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.6 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…513ebacked No | 74c | 479$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…09dcbacked Yes | 26c | 459$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed No | 77c | 448$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed No | 61c | 442$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.38 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 25c | 442$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c07…956bbacked Yes | 23c | 427$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed No | 77c | 427$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked No | 78c | 418$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c04…b9b4backed Yes | 22c | 411$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed No | 78c | 401.56$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.06 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked Yes | 35c | 393$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ead…6c75backed Yes | 22c | 392$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked No | 73c | 387$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.49 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked Yes | 22c | 385$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…35bebacked Yes | 22c | 380$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed No | 67c | 371$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.43 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…1bb5backed Yes | 26c | 355$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…a220backed No | 66c | 351$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +286.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed No | 65c | 350$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…4ca3backed Yes | 23c | 347$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 337.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed Yes | 22c | 334$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…4c53backed Yes | 23c | 326$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed No | 77c | 326$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…8884backed No | 77c | 325$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd11f…2d2cbacked No | 67c | 322$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed Yes | 23c | 320$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8f…4dc1backed No | 77c | 315.4$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…7f4fbacked No | 65c | 307$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes | 29c | 301$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.07 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…f658backed No | 77c | 293$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…2d93backed Yes | 26c | 292$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed No | 61c | 285$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed Yes | 24c | 275$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked No | 73c | 259$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 39c | 249$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.11 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 22c | 247$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…81a5backed Yes | 33c | 243$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 26c | 240.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed No | 56c | 239$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.16 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes | 39c | 229$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.31 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 20c | 222$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked Yes | 39c | 217$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed Yes | 39c | 214$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 213.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a0…b7bdbacked Yes | 34c | 213$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 35c | 207$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed No | 76c | 207$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…a54dbacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed Yes | 26c | 196$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 58c | 194.51$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.05 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…b332backed No | 73c | 191$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…9930backed Yes | 44c | 190$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed Yes | 39c | 189$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed Yes | 35c | 187$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed No | 67c | 181$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed No | 64c | 181$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…fd2cbacked Yes | 50c | 176$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes | 22c | 175$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked Yes | 23c | 175$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…28e1backed Yes | 36c | 174$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 60c | 173.19$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed No | 67c | 173$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2111…667fbacked No | 74c | 168$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 63c | 166.51$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed No | 55c | 165$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…12f8backed No | 50c | 163$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed Yes | 26c | 157$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked No | 61c | 157$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 78c | 155.41$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked No | 76c | 155$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ec…8852backed Yes | 37c | 153$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 9c | 147$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked No | 69c | 145.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Detroit Pistons make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Indiana Pacers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the New York Knicks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Sacramento Kings make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards make the NBA Playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.