TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,717 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x88b0…b118backed Yes63c3,231$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.0722041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No22c2,419$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.6639435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x294d…b362backed No44c2,165$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.523951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5358…5243backed No64c2,000$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.945628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80af…0c19backed No7c1,499$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.851625%4 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No4c1,371$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.271,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x926c…9f2ebacked No3c1,346$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No69c1,200$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82813642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes36c1,116$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71895641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked No31c1,082$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.1365339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb88…6b99backed Yes49c1,079$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.292931%9 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No34c996.91$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.2522750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84f6…e46cbacked No47c900.34$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.07633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked No26c900.2$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.053917.9%7 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-52.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No35c872.02$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.824431.8%14 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28d6…f54ebacked No51c867$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.171070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67ea…ae12backed Yes69c811$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.411040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaee…bd71backed No51c738$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.381573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x48b2…ea4ebacked No52c725$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3771637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes73c711.48$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.4875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes61c704.96$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.539516.8%16 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe36c…a6f0backed No30c704$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.922161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x539d…0213backed No62c692$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.611827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x59d7…0217backed Yes49c685$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.351560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb5f…f3dcbacked No42c671$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.822634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x365f…d215backed Yes48c668$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.361650%8 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45ff…bab6backed Yes58c641$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.222259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1063…1d3fbacked No52c625$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.282142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa647…d77dbacked No51c607$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.574334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d91…89d8backed No52c572$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.441533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x290d…9e42backed No49c560$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.381735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0241…162abacked No51c543$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.931936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b79…360fbacked Yes49c542$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.421258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+59.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f0…669dbacked No52c516$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.322744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes77c513$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.993033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16540133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cae…c0eebacked Yes49c488$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.881952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd8f…4dc1backed No39c471.11$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.651560%9 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No49c470.37$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.821,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes50c463.32$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.9710542.9%45 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4559…f02bbacked Yes48c453$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.562733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee4e…aa5abacked Yes48c450$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.191942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes72c447.07$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3818536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes57c445.93$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2422243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes78c422.45$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8635049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d26…c9f4backed No23c417$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.911250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ea1…6487backed Yes58c415$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.34047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes65c410$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.451942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed Yes78c395.24$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.053141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1056…5b18backed Yes48c393$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.363050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No38c390.02$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.3518246.7%85 W · 97 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32d0…6070backed No54c382.86$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.7412458.1%72 W · 52 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc178…0930backed No6c348.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No48c342.49$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.886934.8%24 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e17…c6b5backed Yes48c341$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.322556%14 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe513…b842backed Yes48c338$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.762853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f85…e5a3backed No23c338$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.742152.4%11 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.21per pick32cpaid+209.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe1d4…8cf7backed No51c328$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.281145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8349…69e5backed Yes49c325$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.751668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+72%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6587…4f63backed Yes77c319.25$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.431838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d05…305bbacked No23c318$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.961861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…6d90backed No52c312$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.241758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+60.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed No38c310.75$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.877544%33 W · 42 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b8d…24efbacked Yes48c310$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3506…4815backed No22c291$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.241323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick33cpaid+23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No4c288.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.063920.5%8 W · 31 L-9.1wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-64.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xe732…d68ebacked Yes74c288$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.88944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa981…8d4fbacked Yes35c279$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bcb…f59bbacked No21c276$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.962642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f46…01b1backed Yes50c271$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.212846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75a4…166bbacked Yes37c270$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdec…ec75backed Yes38c263.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.4312329.3%36 W · 87 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes77c263$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.491656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa355…a3a2backed No23c261$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.031747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+124.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d8…9f12backed No26c257$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.823151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes70c250.06$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4926048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No34c238.16$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.979746.4%45 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed No37c230.1$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1416635.5%59 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5518…1211backed No42c223$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.662347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb1…c4e8backed No52c222$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.442842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes67c211$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.894843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0895…4ddebacked Yes48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.21250%6 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+54.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6578…ba32backed No51c205$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.552450%12 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes55c200$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.577437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes51c198$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.021,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbd…1598backed No51c197$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.471833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa71…9767backed No42c192$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.641942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes51c191.72$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.490863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc353…fa0bbacked No44c187.24$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.94933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3024…0c79backed No52c187$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.242050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d9…bacbbacked No22c184$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.022035%7 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe433…1700backed No26c179$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.542642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e57…6c04backed Yes74c179$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.541421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No56c178.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.017337%27 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdaf…f63cbacked Yes76c178$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.723250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed No23c177$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.462850%14 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes49c174$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.742356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x130f…fc43backed No53c173$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked No7c172.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.499220.7%19 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes79c165$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.653145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.