TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,597
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,422

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,597 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44d…935cbacked No50c9,764$4,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,911.9117162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes43c6,424$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,774.942339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2889…fc69backed No57c6,020$3,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.66639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x294d…b362backed No64c3,989$2,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.923951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No65c3,271$2,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.2110542.9%45 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No80c2,848$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.91,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes24c2,743$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.859516.8%16 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes57c2,644$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.143920.5%8 W · 31 L-9.1wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-64.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No51c2,418$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.7219047.4%90 W · 100 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2534…41c9backed Yes55c2,275$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.694520%9 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes50c2,239$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.891,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes42c2,196$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.241,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes19c2,054$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.6382440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb94…243cbacked No51c1,972$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.084440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Yes19c1,940$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.7523251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed No59c1,674$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.8210548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed No36c1,651$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.283330.3%10 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick21cpaid-12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes44c1,463$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.6495848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No67c1,301$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.0222041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes66c1,225$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.3617356.6%98 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes8c1,178$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030945.3%140 W · 169 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes49c1,161$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.735738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4651…d756backed No61c1,157$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.151050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes31c1,150$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.186048.3%29 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes20c1,110$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.2839435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes59c1,074$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.225845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No64c1,048$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.5318246.7%85 W · 97 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x388a…e87cbacked Yes14c1,034$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-80.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No46c793.56$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.4626336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes42c763.78$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.043138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No51c736$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.0635049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Yes41c729.49$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036751.5%189 W · 178 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No45c699.64$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.4320356.7%115 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes38c677.6$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.353542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes15c668.21$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.234431.8%14 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Yes35c600$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21115724.2%38 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x793d…8720backed No38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b82…7a36backed No78c572.74$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.572825%7 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+35.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes5c552.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.42894.5%4 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes56c547.58$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.6436748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff70…d3eabacked Yes59c512.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003050%15 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes16c502.43$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0229551.9%153 W · 142 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes54c501.31$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9873649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes44c454.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008823.9%21 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes48c438.72$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.0722750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes50c418$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.363423.5%8 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes51c416$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.711942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes43c415.27$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.457337%27 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa188…e84fbacked No40c392.97$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes33c325.8$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.356934.8%24 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes47c323$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.481,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…580fbacked Yes70c312.7$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.025756.1%32 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14461253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1891258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1891618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-61.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x477f…94d6backed Yes67c299$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No40c288$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.81,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes57c280.85$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf809…b391backed Yes42c265.5$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.782832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes54c260.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1716743.7%73 W · 94 L-16.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6acb…06bdbacked No47c254.56$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.311181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+40.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeac9…3896backed Yes56c253.69$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.072152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3101…b9c6backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed No47c248.52$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.139864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2160…3fefbacked No61c241.89$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.71933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes50c240.5$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.589939.4%39 W · 60 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+12.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f6b…902bbacked Yes64c235.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No43c229.31$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0626048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes38c226.77$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.71,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes57c219.7$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0525642.2%108 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8b…c9f8backed Yes47c210.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002937.9%11 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ace…aeb7backed Yes18c207.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378941.6%37 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14283.6%1 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1bd…7235backed Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106429.7%19 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes23c193.1$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3318536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c42…bfaebacked Yes49c190.4$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7510842.6%46 W · 62 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No77c189$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.136040%24 W · 36 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed Yes57c186.58$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.792733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+37.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b4b…b93cbacked No25c186$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.43850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+92.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2408…bc8abacked No52c184$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3513…b52fbacked Yes55c182.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No49c182.61$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8322243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3564…5cffbacked No53c177.93$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.041776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+65.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x02f9…54dbbacked No48c176.88$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.56955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ca…74e2backed Yes63c175.82$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.661127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3909…afd9backed Yes44c175$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.58742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed No42c174.52$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3254853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f1d…ab6abacked Yes57c174.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-55.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Yes61c165.31$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.047358.9%43 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked No62c161.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.425422.2%12 W · 42 L-11.5wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-50.3%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes33c161.42$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2435352.4%185 W · 168 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc66b…98a5backed Yes64c158$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes26c156.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.935715.8%9 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2db…236fbacked No68c156.25$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.85683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x413a…0008backed Yes48c155.39$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.071442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick23cpaid+195.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15f6…64bcbacked Yes55c155$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ded…6bf9backed Yes38c154.78$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa58f…51d6backed Yes52c154.55$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8027248.5%132 W · 140 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf6…a9aabacked Yes48c135.42$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652927.6%8 W · 21 L-6.4wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-45.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.