NBA · resolved market
Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5fbca3fae3a49d577aefe38b8bd5d33678240b9afd6c39e14f39bc0c361f09e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,775 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeee4…9964backed No | 22c | 445$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked No | 22c | 370$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6d3cbacked No | 9c | 369$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f404backed No | 14c | 337$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2e…fe02backed No | 21c | 309$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…659abacked No | 3c | 308.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…fc54backed No | 14c | 285$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed No | 13c | 281$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 21c | 264.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 79c | 261$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…7c01backed Yes | 78c | 261$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed Yes | 78c | 238$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked No | 23c | 221$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b7…d913backed No | 9c | 203$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 23c | 197.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53de…b486backed No | 22c | 197$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e1…a5cdbacked Yes | 78c | 193$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked Yes | 71c | 187$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab38…77febacked No | 22c | 181$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed No | 29c | 180$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…8c30backed No | 14c | 172$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f8…351ebacked No | 14c | 162$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…f315backed No | 17c | 156$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…e124backed No | 12c | 152$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…28e1backed No | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed Yes | 78c | 142$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 10c | 141.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…e642backed Yes | 71c | 141$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…1683backed Yes | 71c | 133$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed No | 21c | 131$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 77c | 120.78$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…8c45backed No | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…095ebacked Yes | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 25c | 119$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed No | 22c | 118$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…6cb4backed No | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +167.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed Yes | 71c | 109.7$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…c93dbacked No | 14c | 109$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…3497backed No | 29c | 97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4d…b46ebacked No | 14c | 92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked No | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…6811backed No | 14c | 87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…2d93backed No | 29c | 86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4c…be9fbacked No | 29c | 78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked No | 40c | 77.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…1211backed No | 14c | 76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked No | 22c | 73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c2e0backed Yes | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed Yes | 77c | 69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed Yes | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…1272backed No | 29c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…3333backed No | 24c | 61.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed Yes | 78c | 56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…7c05backed Yes | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed No | 29c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 60c | 36.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0e…8d9dbacked Yes | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…30ddbacked Yes | 79c | 32.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed Yes | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 67c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 77c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 78c | 20.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 71c | 18.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Detroit Pistons make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Indiana Pacers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the New York Knicks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Sacramento Kings make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards make the NBA Playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.