TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7775…6cb4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.31
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Will Train Dreams win Best Feature at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$482.02
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+77%+$145.34
Will Sydney Sweeney be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.85
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$87.75
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31.25
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$67.2
Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.86
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$34.06
Will Jay Kelly be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+98.4%+$41.16
Will Ryan Coogler be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$87.68
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$14.75
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.6
Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+222.6%+$77.97
Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+44.3%+$220.12
Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+106.2%+$57.17
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+167.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.24
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$85.76
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.46
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$364
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$109.98
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$69
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+525%+$165.48
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.92
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$230
Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+25%+$5.2
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$159.1
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$103.6
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+1,150%+$165.6
Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$123.28
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$430.29
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$82.32
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$342.3
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.06
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$122.1
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+203%+$513.22
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$152.68
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$53.72
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$147.56
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$43.2
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$81.09
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.57
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.1
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.64
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+69.5%+$56.58
All 15 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+36.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.69
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$282.36
Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$184.8
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$331.89
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$837.08
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+31.6%+$244.8
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$43.28
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$103.8
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+477%+$216.59
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+33.3%+$64.75
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$213.47
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$88.04
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.2
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.51
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$132.3
Google Gemini Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$31.46
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.72
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$57.13
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.07
Will Sam Altman say "Creativity" or "Artist" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+170.3%+$94.5
Will Comcast acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+92.3%+$15.84
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+201.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+194.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$43.54
Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$346.26
Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$273.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Medline's market cap be between $55B and $65B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$114.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oregon and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$140.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+60.5%+$280.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$225.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$52.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$48.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebelsbacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.