HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4cc85119f59c5ce34cde02048502fb1f4da008e69eac71789eff1f0a5399c62

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 10, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $229,684
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $220,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,684 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcabd…021dbacked Yes	24c	6,226$1,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,478.48	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad23…47c4backed No	65c	5,620$3,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,955.31	107	63.6%68 W · 39 L	+11.1wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	5,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.31per pick	2cpaid	+1,566.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed No	65c	3,893$2,541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,352.06	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+83.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes	19c	3,521$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.81	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x42c4…93a7backed Yes	14c	3,500$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	61	27.9%17 W · 44 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4827…6bb1backed No	66c	3,474$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,174.26	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	62cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c15…cc6bbacked Yes	30c	3,299$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$987.87	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+39%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x214c…539abacked Yes	8c	3,196$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.71	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5b…2903backed No	61c	2,716$1,669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,047.7	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	11c	2,654$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.69	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fe…b350backed Yes	8c	2,500$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-4.4wins	-0.14per pick	29cpaid	-58%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes	32c	2,460$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$776.04	107	56.1%60 W · 47 L	+8.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3abe…6c5ebacked Yes	20c	2,391$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.09	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…55e1backed No	62c	2,266$1,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$864.89	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa43f…fc07backed Yes	18c	2,209$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.35	57	12.3%7 W · 50 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	17c	2,197$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.26	72	8.3%6 W · 66 L	-6.4wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b02…caa6backed No	79c	2,014$1,585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.13	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b40…e9f9backed No	78c	2,000$1,553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	78cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes	10c	1,900$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.37	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+3.7wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7950…1d42backed Yes	17c	1,897$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.8	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Yes	30c	1,870$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes	21c	1,835$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.23	100	45%45 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad4…3d8cbacked Yes	12c	1,579$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.48	147	32%47 W · 100 L	+12.7wins	+0.09per pick	23cpaid	+44%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Yes	9c	1,563$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.23	72	31.9%23 W · 49 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9227…4df5backed No	58c	1,552$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651.76	62	22.6%14 W · 48 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	31c	1,519$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.54	61	8.2%5 W · 56 L	-7.7wins	-0.13per pick	21cpaid	-82%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	6c	1,470$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.6	77	3.9%3 W · 74 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…5758backed Yes	57c	1,309$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745.07	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb70…41c2backed Yes	39c	1,270$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.8	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed81…82eebacked No	67c	1,263$841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.49	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25b9…2970backed Yes	9c	1,216$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.79	50	48%24 W · 26 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc073…ab63backed Yes	14c	1,195$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-4.2wins	-0.19per pick	33cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x07ce…3c44backed Yes	29c	1,193$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.5	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83e1…6a54backed No	66c	1,181$775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.59	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	45cpaid	+325.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	8c	1,170$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.27	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	7c	1,160$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.22	131	31.3%41 W · 90 L	+12.1wins	+0.09per pick	22cpaid	+164.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed Yes	37c	1,093$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.59	153	62.7%96 W · 57 L	+22.4wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6590…fb8fbacked Yes	41c	1,084$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	-2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…580fbacked Yes	24c	1,070$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.67	16	50%8 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…a3d6backed Yes	29c	1,068$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.52	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0107…bb52backed Yes	58c	1,060$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.8	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b8…26b2backed Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733b…0268backed Yes	36c	965.43$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.37	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	+9.4wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	+38%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b64…ebdebacked Yes	26c	952.53$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.5	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+3.9wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8af…04e7backed Yes	19c	916.79$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	61cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5682…97afbacked No	75c	912.54$685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.3	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefc3…081fbacked Yes	6c	899.99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+6.1wins	+0.17per pick	19cpaid	+72.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x24ed…344ebacked Yes	14c	882.75$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a8…0cecbacked Yes	17c	855.56$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd297…2919backed Yes	28c	852.22$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.83	95	50.5%48 W · 47 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…8359backed Yes	6c	835.61$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea07…d8b7backed Yes	24c	832.3$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e2…b8f5backed No	79c	789.2$622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.53	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5238…26adbacked Yes	14c	752.42$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.67	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10c8…c0eebacked No	68c	735.77$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.77	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5986…83e3backed Yes	16c	608$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.72	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d8c…26e9backed No	74c	599.01$445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.2	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5f…6fb2backed Yes	53c	569.81$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a2f…1601backed Yes	21c	565$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.3	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e53…5c9dbacked Yes	43c	561.44$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.49	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41fb…bc6fbacked No	78c	550.16$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf4d…1ee4backed Yes	27c	549.47$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	44	15.9%7 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5302…208abacked No	79c	545$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.2	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7329…d562backed No	77c	544.41$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.69	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Yes	37c	533.11$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.05	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed Yes	9c	530$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.08	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c7…a072backed Yes	48c	523.27$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.1	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31e1…c852backed Yes	13c	506$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.15	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes	42c	500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+3.6wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-58.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ff…997fbacked Yes	22c	494.34$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93b7…7d51backed Yes	18c	489.84$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.22	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+13.3wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bff…4b26backed Yes	44c	472.4$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3063…dbb1backed Yes	18c	470$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.34per pick	33cpaid	+67.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69f4…43ddbacked Yes	22c	454.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	4c	430.85$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.55	112	2.7%3 W · 109 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…3c72backed Yes	47c	429.6$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbe…c192backed Yes	14c	420.73$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.59	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbf…6c43backed No	76c	415.47$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.47	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+93.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ab…01cabacked Yes	35c	400.11$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9783…9cd2backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.18per pick	25cpaid	+39%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54a4…f169backed No	74c	400$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+6.5wins	+0.31per pick	36cpaid	+119.4%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x4a59…a320backed No	80c	399$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff01…1084backed Yes	64c	390.01$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9c…34d9backed Yes	44c	369.55$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.6	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed Yes	22c	366.83$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8203…0187backed Yes	53c	338.79$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.75	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-4.8wins	-0.30per pick	42cpaid	-84%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	28c	321.49$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.36	333	29.7%99 W · 234 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7775…6cb4backed Yes	17c	307$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39ec…6504backed Yes	41c	302.79$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.79	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+5.1wins	+0.18per pick	41cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e37…cccbbacked Yes	21c	301.85$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.18	101	43.6%44 W · 57 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2683…b5bfbacked Yes	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x321d…ed56backed Yes	25c	300$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca4…923dbacked No	74c	294.06$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.06	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d1…62c2backed Yes	7c	289.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	85	58.8%50 W · 35 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked Yes	8c	286.15$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	10	10%1 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b93…c068backed Yes	9c	269.05$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.07	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-18%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x91fc…0109backed Yes	38c	265.01$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.11	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ad…33fabacked No	77c	260$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.5	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	64cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?this page
HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes won
HumidiFi FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
HumidiFi FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
HumidiFi FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
HumidiFi FDV above $700M one day after launch?No won
HumidiFi FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
HumidiFi FDV above $80M one day after launch?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event