TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7a8…0cec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Royval (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Chikadze vs. Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Vallejos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.67
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Gibson Jr. (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Gibson Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Brito vs. Thomson (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Brito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+44.1%+$22.06
UFC Fight Night: Asplund vs. Sharaf (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Asplund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Talbott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
UFC 323: Dawson vs. Torres (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Horiguchi vs. Ulanbekov (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+170.3%+$51.08
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Almabayev (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$24.63
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+72.4%+$36.21
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.57
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.97
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Brown vs. Bonfimbacked Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Salikhov vs. Medicbacked Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Bonfim vs. Padillabacked Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Barcelos vs. Simonbacked Simon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Pennington vs. Gomesbacked Gomes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+56.8%+$28.42
Garcia vs. Onamabacked Onama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$69.15
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
LAR vs. Cardinalsbacked LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Spread: Packers (-7.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+72.6%+$36.29
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: LAR (-10.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Spread: Bills (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$18.75
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Commanders vs. Vikingsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Cardinals vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Spread: Bears (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Stars vs. Blackhawksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Ducks vs. Rangersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Bruins vs. Jetsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+138.1%+$69.05
Lightning vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Red Wings vs. Flamesbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Devils vs. Senatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$69.05
Blue Jackets vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Penguins vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Wild vs. Flamesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Stars vs. Rangersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$48.77
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+178.7%+$178.75
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.5M committed to the Cambria public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$164.49
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$102.39
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+138.1%+$138.1
HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$149
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+66.6%+$66.63
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+402.8%+$180.24
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+32.1%+$211.19
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+33.5%+$174.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami (OH) vs. Buffalobacked Buffalo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.