NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66c38501668ffb6540451bb27d178ce909a2b41d540d53a8ed4866a356f38604
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $425,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $426,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 995 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lightning | 55c | 31,774$17,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,298.11 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Devils | 0c | 31,219$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Lightning | 56c | 28,264$15,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,435.95 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Lightning | 54c | 20,405$10,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,407.83 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Devils | 45c | 14,979$6,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,740.95 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Devils | 8c | 13,082$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.69 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Devils | 1c | 11,676$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lightning | 55c | 11,363$6,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,113.55 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Devils | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Devils | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Devils | 42c | 9,500$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Devils | 44c | 9,168$4,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,034.11 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Devils | 45c | 6,821$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.41 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Devils | 44c | 6,500$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Devils | 44c | 5,586$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.84 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8c…7fcfbacked Devils | 46c | 5,409$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c9…13cebacked Lightning | 56c | 5,037$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Devils | 45c | 5,035$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.29 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Devils | 0c | 5,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Devils | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Devils | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.97 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Lightning | 54c | 4,986$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.54 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Devils | 45c | 4,902$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.11 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…4ea7backed Devils | 45c | 4,842$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6026…f93abacked Devils | 45c | 4,724$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…ea4cbacked Lightning | 67c | 4,419$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lightning | 54c | 4,172$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.99 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Devils | 45c | 3,919$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.12 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Devils | 46c | 3,887$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.12 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Lightning | 50c | 3,465$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.14 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Devils | 3c | 3,066$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lightning | 56c | 2,942$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.12 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Devils | 45c | 2,859$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.85 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Devils | 46c | 2,675$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.43 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Devils | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Devils | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Devils | 30c | 2,475$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.47 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Devils | 43c | 2,300$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.99 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Devils | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Devils | 44c | 2,182$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Devils | 1c | 2,139$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Devils | 46c | 2,079$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.93 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Devils | 44c | 2,075$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Devils | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Devils | 50c | 1,877$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.27 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Devils | 13c | 1,762$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.96 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1254…cec1backed Devils | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d96…0b38backed Lightning | 55c | 1,739$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.55 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Devils | 36c | 1,550$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.7 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Devils | 43c | 1,532$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.6 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Devils | 45c | 1,491$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.19 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Lightning | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.55 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Lightning | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Devils | 49c | 1,331$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked Lightning | 56c | 1,296$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.33 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Devils | 46c | 1,189$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.94 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Devils | 43c | 1,068$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.41 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Devils | 1c | 1,050$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Devils | 47c | 1,040$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.8 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Devils | 6c | 1,030$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9574…d27bbacked Devils | 45c | 1,015$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.87 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Devils | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…054fbacked Lightning | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Devils | 8c | 908.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa012…693fbacked Lightning | 55c | 905.36$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…583bbacked Devils | 46c | 891.3$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a3…a1d8backed Lightning | 55c | 890.13$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Devils | 6c | 834.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b92…943cbacked Devils | 45c | 780.5$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Devils | 46c | 750$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5170…1169backed Devils | 46c | 728.26$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83cb…1038backed Lightning | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…e34dbacked Lightning | 55c | 705.45$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Devils | 45c | 599.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Devils | 23c | 588.87$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.11 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Devils | 45c | 570$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6348…35c1backed Devils | 46c | 554.35$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f8…ec5fbacked Lightning | 55c | 545.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Devils | 31c | 527.98$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.85 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73d…d2acbacked Lightning | 55c | 502.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…aff7backed Lightning | 49c | 497$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…59cbbacked Devils | 51c | 497$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…13babacked Devils | 51c | 496$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…ebb3backed Lightning | 49c | 496$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23af…3026backed Devils | 51c | 496$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…40b3backed Devils | 51c | 496$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…cd94backed Lightning | 49c | 496$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x350a…9b53backed Lightning | 49c | 496$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…9a4abacked Devils | 51c | 496$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668f…7e81backed Lightning | 49c | 496$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Lightning | 55c | 492.84$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.78 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…bbd0backed Devils | 51c | 480$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1652…c348backed Lightning | 49c | 480$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…b045backed Lightning | 49c | 479$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83cf…f805backed Devils | 51c | 479$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf8…db7fbacked Devils | 51c | 478$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…1e9dbacked Lightning | 49c | 478$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…745dbacked Devils | 51c | 478$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ae…09bcbacked Lightning | 49c | 478$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Devilsthis page
- Lightning vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Lightning won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.