TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90f6…48f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST6256.5%35 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$3,190
Timberwolves vs. Bullsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14,907Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7,342.25
Suns vs. Wizardsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,816Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+26.5%+$747.33
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,852Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,852
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+42.9%+$242.57
Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,713Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$2,311.07
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,194
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,388Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+69.5%+$3,049.29
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,258Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+126.7%+$6,663.3
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+108.3%+$2,337.83
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+94.6%+$19.87
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+40.8%+$110.28
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$9,767Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$9,767
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,616Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+49.3%+$1,781.01
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,638Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$3,638
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,723Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$4,723
Knicks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,617Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+44.9%+$726.48
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$211
Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,806Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+127.3%+$3,571.27
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,256Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+58.7%+$737.65
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,805
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,781Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$7,781
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+222.6%+$1,544.71
Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,432Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,432
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$672.55
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$3,900
Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,039Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+108.3%+$2,208.92
Spread: Packers (-4.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,677Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$3,677
Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 39.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$4,090
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$9,651Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+170.3%+$16,432.78
Spread: Ravens (-2.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+154.5%+$2,270.93
Spread: Broncos (-2.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$772Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+132.6%+$1,023.35
Spread: Falcons (-2.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11,071Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11,071
Vikings vs. Giants: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$6,473
Spread: Packers (-1.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,466Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,466
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$3,274
Spread: 49ers (-12.5)backed Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,319Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,318.53
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,878Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$3,878
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+117.4%+$2,254.05
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14,043Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3,960.85
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,024
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$7,017Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+107.1%+$7,514.29
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,494Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$2,927.74
Spread: Broncos (-6.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,400
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,595Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+40.8%+$1,059.93
Falcons vs. Jets: O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,254Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$5,254
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$4,569Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+170.3%+$7,779.65
Spread: Dolphins (-6.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,477Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,477
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST3158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,097
Bruins vs. Flamesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,487Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,487
Blue Jackets vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+117.4%+$2,054.35
Kraken vs. Flames: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,378Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+92.3%+$2,195.08
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,430Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+122.2%+$1,747.78
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,492Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+96.3%+$1,436.14
Utah vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,458Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$1,345.85
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,750
Red Wings vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,468
Sharks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,460
Lightning vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$938Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$938.27
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,625Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+100%+$3,624.63
Devils vs. Senatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$2,651.16
Sharks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,485Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$872.14
Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,566Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$3,426.16
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,693Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,693
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$631.23
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+177.8%+$2,560
Jets vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$2,133
Flyers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,104
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,759Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,759
Flames vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+75.4%+$499.4
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$682Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$682
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$871Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$871
Wild vs. Islandersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+127.3%+$842.55
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.09
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+35.8%+$35.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.