NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb79e5a9fb610a38e830542b0f52eafd37857397f3e32241bdc85207e819815bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Under | 46c | 3,804$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.35 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Under | 48c | 2,088$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.92 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 1,965$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.82 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 52c | 1,679$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.82 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under | 45c | 1,015$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.4 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 45c | 586$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.3 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 45c | 500$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 45c | 444$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 45c | 349.51$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.23 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Over | 55c | 343.64$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 56c | 291$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.86 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 54c | 132$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Under | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 36c | 115.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 54c | 103.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 103.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…1f62backed Over | 55c | 72.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 250 | 50.4%126 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 53c | 58.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Under | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…69e4backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Under | 47c | 42.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 53c | 39.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed Over | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 55c | 29.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 45c | 29.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7590…d6e0backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 46c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…e09ebacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Kings: O/U 5.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. KingsBlue Jackets won
- Blue Jackets vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.