TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79c3…81e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
177
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: La Liga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 59 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT6845.6%31 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.79
World Championships: Finland vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.49
Kraken vs. Wildbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.46
Maple Leafs vs. Rangersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$53.68
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$54.92
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$49.88
Wild vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$51.01
Spread: Flames (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+57.7%+$28.86
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$49.73
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+73.3%+$36.63
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49.73
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+62.3%+$31.13
Lightning vs. Ducksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Capitals vs. Panthersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Oilers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Stars vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Devils vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Canadiens vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Penguins vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Blue Jackets vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Golden Knights vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Kraken vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$17.68
Red Wings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT4353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50.16
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Celtics vs. Kings: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Nuggets vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Celtics vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$42.5
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Suns (-11.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Grizzlies vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Magic: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$149
Bucks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+84.4%+$25.33
Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 247.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Bucks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Spurs vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$20.95
Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.35
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$52.25
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed AS Monaco FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+138.1%+$59.69
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.96
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+127.3%+$18.62
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$36.03
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18.87
FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$39.58
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+156.4%+$62.44
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$25.94
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$22.94
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+170.3%+$40.73
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+100%+$23.83
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$16.37
Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+66.8%+$13.36
Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-11-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+61.3%+$29.89
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-62.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AZ win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$21.42
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$26.63
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Celtic FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$21
FCSB vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+31.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmarkbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$27.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.