TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,464 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6ee…697bbacked Under52c18,888$9,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,066.244942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over44c13,400$5,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,895.972227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under59c6,164$3,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,548.7190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over48c4,400$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,11264046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c3,410$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.934,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Under55c3,332$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.428243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3509052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79f0…964ebacked Under67c2,894$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.974100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under52c2,414$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.526645.5%30 W · 36 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c2,282$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.2469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69038729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Under51c1,405$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.564266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over48c1,256$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.646141%25 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Under55c1,120$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5042944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over43c1,057$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.518957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over27c1,004$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.0122357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over41c967.09$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.768433.3%28 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over49c750$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.51942.1%8 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ba…3061backed Over50c622.84$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over48c588.6$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.5353246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c552$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.441,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over48c458$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.8422552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over44c444$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.368142%34 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over49c408.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.361060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1924553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under51c363.67$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.21758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3776…73c1backed Over16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14413052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under51c224.73$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.955941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over50c222.8$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11149447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under62c219.84$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4225248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under70c208.37$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.263,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over48c206$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8835054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9820945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under51c184$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.163145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over48c183$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8415250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over48c182$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3618551.9%96 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over23c170$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1829946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under79c168.35$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3523252.6%122 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Under51c153$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.972454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under51c149.98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4942557.9%246 W · 179 L+1.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over48c144$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1221151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over48c143$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6427652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over48c143$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6431751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Under51c133$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.172650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Over44c132.15$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.153135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504641.3%19 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under52c125$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed Under54c115.33$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.052462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over48c113.75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3118152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over48c107.2$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4629053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x890a…093cbacked Over49c106.73$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under52c101.92$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.923847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4922638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493548.6%17 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+40.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254721.3%10 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03b9…7e74backed Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3340%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Over49c99.02$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.521942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over48c95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.614244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over48c91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6821051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over48c91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6819750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over48c91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6811448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over48c91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.688650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over48c91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6816151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over48c91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.689649%47 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over48c91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6829053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over48c91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6814950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over48c91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6843255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over49c88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.122729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under52c84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.323946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Under51c84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.162334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Under51c83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.671573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.33per pick40cpaid+106.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under53c82$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3419153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011427.2%31 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb52c…cd60backed Under53c81$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Under52c79.06$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.959549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over48c79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9217648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over48c79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9221849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under51c77$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.733240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Under53c75.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.53053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Under51c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.752937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over50c73.34$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6711741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfacf…e97abacked Over49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1170…8398backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0da9…9d56backed Over47c63.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Under52c62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.762454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed Under51c53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.97875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over48c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9620652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over48c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.969945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over48c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9620250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over48c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9619652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over48c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9611346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.