TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,715
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,715 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No64c13,514$8,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,835.294,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Yes30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c5,904$2,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.363,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes55c5,293$2,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,910.621637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No44c2,207$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.0355941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes56c1,932$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.2883640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No67c1,240$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.4325248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes55c1,129$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.6637039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.1128055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No43c1,073$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.3838729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes56c1,020$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.5917744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa297…8e9bbacked Yes57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes30c822$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.6128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick34cpaid-83%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5172…31e6backed Yes56c711.63$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Yes56c709.35$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.032330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes56c439.54$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.1421641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes55c404.93$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.769347.3%44 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf402…df7cbacked Yes56c382.88$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.41333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+96.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No46c314.25$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.279133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes26c296$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.888433.3%28 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ec…819dbacked No48c254.59$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed Yes54c218.52$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1193551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4eb…5857backed Yes57c211.12$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.292030%6 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed No44c204$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.313537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11431745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed No43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+95%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed No45c191$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.742259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b7…6e7ebacked Yes42c190$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804136.6%15 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3776…73c1backed Yes27c185.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.28922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9678…594bbacked Yes57c175.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008159.3%48 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed No44c147$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.833946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4dd…c194backed No48c145.4$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No45c141.2$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5529946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No45c128.98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.949947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6886…7db9backed Yes56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed No45c122$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.13043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed No44c115$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.43145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Yes55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No46c108.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5653246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Yes56c105$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.83336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5511559.1%68 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Yes55c99.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554450%22 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa2…0e47backed Yes55c89.01$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Yes55c85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.751250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes51c84.48$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.433033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No48c81.86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7861557.7%355 W · 260 L+41.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cb3…ae1ebacked No45c77.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.782638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-31%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409557.9%55 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7e3…395cbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed No44c63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.281361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+48.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes52c60.86$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6550149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes52c59.69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.042948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Yes55c59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.67850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed Yes56c58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.421361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed No44c56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.362065%13 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+36.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Yes56c54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.241872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+42.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked No44c54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.242740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…aeb8backed Yes55c52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.78771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9af9…89bcbacked Yes55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.691369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes55c49.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.53540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed No44c48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.882045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No66c47.62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1615051.3%77 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked No44c47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.321353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Yes56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510040%40 W · 60 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5e2…3703backed Yes56c44.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad2…d17fbacked Yes56c44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.64966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed No44c41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.961833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2643…28c2backed No45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No71c39.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4425551.4%131 W · 124 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff27…92babacked Yes29c39.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…4997backed Yes56c38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe22f…eff7backed Yes56c37.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Yes56c37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.72850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb736…1946backed Yes55c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd323…64acbacked Yes56c35.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.021163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c7c…31fdbacked Yes56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed No48c35.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.422638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017036.5%62 W · 108 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No45c32.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.099554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Yes56c30.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc713…c8d0backed Yes54c28.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.41723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick32cpaid+5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe105…8a2dbacked Yes56c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.681266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes56c26.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Yes54c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.041145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Yes56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d19…0b39backed Yes55c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e2…b537backed No45c23.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc57d…3eeebacked Yes56c23.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68cc…24adbacked Yes56c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.881346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd595…7893backed Yes56c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.88742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Yes56c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-75.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes57c22.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a4…581ebacked Yes56c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.