TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe105…8a2d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
216
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 59 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST3961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.02
Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.04
Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.61
Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.36
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.92
Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$9.66
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.68
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.04
Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.28
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
1H Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.35
Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$11.73
Heat vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.79
Nuggets vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.96
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.15
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$10.58
Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21.32
1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$19.74
Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14.08
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+72.4%+$12.18
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.22
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.86
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+85.2%+$8.74
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.58
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.35
Spread: Arkansas State Red Wolves (-2.5)backed Arkansas State Red Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.92
Spread: Ball State Cardinals (-3.5)backed Ball State Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.4
Spread: Liberty Flames (-9.5)backed Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$16.17
Troy Trojans vs. Georgia State Panthersbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.82
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Joseph's Hawksbacked George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.44
Spread: Florida Atlantic Owls (-10.5)backed East Carolina Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$16
South Florida Bulls vs. Temple Owlsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Ball State Cardinals vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.14
William & Mary Tribe vs. Monmouth Hawksbacked Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+132.6%+$13.68
Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.06
Spread: Virginia Tech Hokies (-5.5)backed Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
Lindenwood Lions vs. SIUE Cougarsbacked SIUE Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$12.5
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Bowling Green Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.19
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 136.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$7.74
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+25%+$8.4
Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$21.42
Harvard Crimson vs. Colgate Raidersbacked Colgate Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.03
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+49.3%+$10.56
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Sacred Heart Pioneersbacked Dartmouth Big Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
James Madison Dukes vs. Old Dominion Monarchsbacked James Madison Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15.39
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Green Bay Phoenixbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20.77
Spread: Xavier Musketeers (-2.5)backed Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$18.15
Louisville Cardinals vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$17.86
Toledo Rockets vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.87
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.4
SHL: Vaexjoe vs. Brynaesbacked Vaexjoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$19.61
Panthers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.64
KHL: Barys Astana vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$11.22
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$14.79
Bruins vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$15.39
KHL: Traktor vs. Dinamo Minskbacked Dinamo Minsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.68
AHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Calgary Wranglersbacked Colorado Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.03
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.73
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Severstal Cherepovetsbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+106.4%+$17.53
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+69.5%+$18.86
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. HC Sochibacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+37%+$5.94
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. HC Dynamo Moscowbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12.39
DEL: Schwenninger Wild Wings vs. Bremerhavenbacked Schwenninger Wild Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.27
Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+127.3%+$19.6
Ducks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$15.98
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sheffield United FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.62
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.4
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+47.1%+$7.36
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20.52
Oxford United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12.24
Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+37%+$3.78
Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$7.6
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$19.61
Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Bristol City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
Sheffield United FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$32.4
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$12.76
Will Burton Albion FC win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$26.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+108.3%+$14.04
1H Spread: Broncos (-0.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+108.3%+$15.6
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21.28
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+63.9%+$10.92
Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$23.94
Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.34
Cardinals vs. Bengals: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.07
Saints vs. Titans: O/U 39.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$13.23
1H Spread: Steelers (-2.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$41.43
Broncos vs. Chiefs: 1H Moneylinebacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$16.59
1H Spread: Broncos (-6.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 24.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.63
Spread: 49ers (-5.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100%+$11.5
Eagles vs. Chargers: 1H Moneylinebacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.13
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+37%+$6.75
Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100%+$11
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.2
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.17
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$10.35
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11.97
Will Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+28.2%+$8.14
Will SD Eibar vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.99
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15.68
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$6.44
Will Málaga CF win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$33.66
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed Udinese Calcio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.18
SSC Napoli vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+112.8%+$13.78
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$10.92
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+37%+$8.91
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$19.95
AS Roma vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+96.1%+$18.62
AS Roma vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$35.52
ACF Fiorentina vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+150%+$24.6
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12.78
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Coria vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Buse vs. Passaro: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.34
Set 1 Winner: Kjaer vs Munarbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.43
Argentina Open: Lautaro Midon vs Pedro Martinezbacked Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$13.72
Set Handicap: Griekspoor (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)backed Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Match O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Noskova vs. Wang: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.77
Set 1 Winner: Samsonova vs Vondrousovabacked Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.09
Shnaider vs. Fernandez: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.38
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Fernandez (+1.5)backed Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+170.3%+$22.68
Giron vs. Mmoh: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.78
Brisbane International: Rinky Hijikata vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.44
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: 1H Moneylinebacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.15
California vs. Hawaii: 1H Moneylinebacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+94.7%+$19.46
Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$35.19
O/U 61.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.29
Spread: Troy (-1.5)backed Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15.84
O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$25.65
O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.22
Colorado State vs. Boise State: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.66
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.68
VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+37%+$6.21
Will Legia Warszawa win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+35.1%+$8.32
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2025-12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+51.5%+$8.84
Will NK Celje win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$17.76
Will Aberdeen FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.62
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+29.9%+$8.74
FC Basel 1893 vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.48
Ferencvárosi TC vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST8100%8 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+59.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+82.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.85
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.95
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$43.74
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17.16
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$32.68
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.92
All 3 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Valenciabacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.68
Fenerbahce vs. Panathinaikosbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sudan vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+51.5%+$8.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.