TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,951 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes37c25,000$9,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,25010952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No66c14,155$9,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,810.772,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No63c13,640$8,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,046.884351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No62c6,192$3,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.961040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No28c5,262$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,802.961,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes38c2,500$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No63c1,551$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.7845547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes37c1,205$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.4348144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4f…5459backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf221…2575backed Yes24c911.04$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes68c866$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.6632843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa041…04d2backed Yes7c861.29$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+43.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes38c778.95$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29633951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No61c689.7$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.981163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+56.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes29c591.1$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.643724.3%9 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+47.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Yes7c569$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.114744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+86.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No62c537.3$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.172454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeee8…79dfbacked Yes37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+51.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No34c499.51$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.0659240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No68c445$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.991963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes39c410.26$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No61c401.74$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6824939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Yes35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x931b…0f2dbacked Yes35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cbe…70fdbacked Yes39c384.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No25c383.52$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.973135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No33c352.79$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.6124849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No14c333.3$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.4222373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes39c327$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5427737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No72c289.57$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0143058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No66c285.94$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.315369.8%37 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013155%72 W · 59 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes21c281.81$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.18944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No63c269.58$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7438744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8956…9e83backed No17c268.07$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.591729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No36c259.78$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5815045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x340b…ec07backed Yes39c229.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No61c221.4$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3520841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93a7…8db6backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+66.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a2…c2c2backed No68c179.87$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4675…d7d0backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Yes36c171$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.563360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes36c166.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Yes25c161$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2425…d39abacked Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes37c137.41$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.842941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes35c128.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458644.2%38 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc5…3984backed Yes39c125$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No63c111.14$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.514932.7%16 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked No16c110$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.41838.9%7 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick22cpaid+50.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked No62c109.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.82646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No62c106.65$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0641943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed No62c106$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.281258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945f…1293backed Yes24c101.39$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes22c100.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3812422.6%28 W · 96 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.78229.3%24 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386264.5%40 W · 22 L+7.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes35c99.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.993818.4%7 W · 31 L-6.3wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-62.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x25b0…94ebbacked No63c96.83$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.831850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…87aabacked Yes36c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b6…3158backed Yes22c90$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.21553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No61c85$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1544753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No67c83.18$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes80c82.58$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.067345.2%33 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes67c80$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.411546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x091d…b305backed Yes39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e76…caabbacked Yes36c74.64$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes35c74.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2612347.2%58 W · 65 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5485…231cbacked Yes30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe406…4cc1backed Yes36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Yes36c68.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x106e…8f8ebacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-37.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes38c60.21$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.885162.7%32 W · 19 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes22c59.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.881040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5992…40bfbacked Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes36c55.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.826131.1%19 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c54…489fbacked Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x478e…324dbacked Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4850…6442backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd4b…c2bcbacked Yes39c51.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed No62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1914254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Yes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+64.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddca…239abacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.532150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Yes37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.514255.6%79 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd35…ecebbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc31…7239backed Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f57…6d41backed No64c44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Yes38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.22445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.